Kilimani Company Limited owns and sells houses around Nyashishi area in Mwanza. Assume further that the city council has built a new garbage collection area in Nyashishi. The following equation relates housing prices (price) to distance from the recently built garbage collection point (dist). \[ \log (\text { price })=9.40+0.312 \log \text { (dist) } \] \[ n=135, R^{2}=0.162 \] a) Interpret the coefficient on \( \log ( \) dist). Is the sign of this estimate what you expect it to be? ( 7.5 marks) b) What other factors about a house affect its price? ( 7.5 marks) c) How much variation in the dependent variable price is explained by the independent variable distance? (Hint: utilize the \( R \)-squared.) ( 7.5 marks)
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The Deep Dive
The coefficient on \( \log(\text{dist}) \) is 0.312, indicating that an increase in the distance from the garbage collection point is associated with a percentage increase in housing prices, since we’re observing a log-log relationship. Specifically, a 1% increase in distance is expected to lead to approximately a 0.312% increase in the house price. The positive sign here might be unexpected; typically, one would expect proximity to undesirable features, like a garbage collection area, to decrease house prices. In addition to distance from the garbage collection point, several other factors can influence housing prices. These include the size of the house (in square feet), the number of bedrooms and bathrooms, the condition and age of the property, neighborhood safety, local school quality, and nearby amenities such as parks or shopping centers. Each of these aspects can significantly impact how buyers perceive value and set their willingness to pay. The \( R^{2} \) value of 0.162 suggests that approximately 16.2% of the variation in the housing price can be explained by the distance from the garbage collection point. This implies that while distance is a relevant factor, there are many other elements contributing to housing price fluctuations that are not captured by this model. Thus, the model may need to be expanded to include more predictors for a more comprehensive understanding of pricing dynamics.
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