Pregunta
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A town's population has been growing linearly. In 2004 the population was 6200 . By 2009 the population had grown to 8100 . Assume this trend continues.

Ask by Vaughn Dunn. in the United States
Feb 24,2025

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The town's population increases by 380 people each year. In 2004, there were 6,200 people. So, in any year t, the population P(t) can be calculated using the formula: P(t) = 6,200 + 380 × (t - 2004) For example, in 2015, the population would be 10,380.

Solución

We begin by finding the annual change in population. From 2004 to 2009 (a 5-year period), the population increased from 6200 to 8100. That is, the increase was   8100 − 6200 = 1900 people. Since this increase happened over 5 years, the yearly increase is   1900 ÷ 5 = 380 people per year. Now, let t represent the actual year. We can model the population P(t) with a linear function in the form   P(t) = P₀ + r(t − t₀), where P₀ is the population in the starting year t₀ and r is the annual rate of change. If we take t₀ = 2004 and P₀ = 6200, then the model becomes   P(t) = 6200 + 380(t − 2004). This function satisfies the given information: • For t = 2004, P(2004) = 6200 + 380(2004 − 2004) = 6200. • For t = 2009, P(2009) = 6200 + 380(2009 − 2004) = 6200 + 380×5 = 6200 + 1900 = 8100. Thus, assuming the current trend continues, the town’s population in any year t is given by   P(t) = 6200 + 380(t − 2004). For example, if you wish to predict the population for 2015, substitute t = 2015 into the model:   P(2015) = 6200 + 380(2015 − 2004)        = 6200 + 380×11        = 6200 + 4180        = 10380. This is the prediction based on the linear growth trend.

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Bonus Knowledge

To find the annual growth rate, we can subtract the 2004 population from the 2009 population and divide by the number of years: (8100 - 6200) / (2009 - 2004) = 1900 / 5 = 380. So the town's population is increasing by approximately 380 people each year. If we use this information, we can predict that in 2024, the population will reach 6200 + (380 * 20) = 8600 people. Understanding linear growth is essential in many fields like urban planning, economics, and environmental studies. These concepts help officials make informed decisions about resource allocation and community services. For instance, knowing the growth rate can help in planning for schools, roads, and healthcare facilities to accommodate future residents effectively.

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