Continuous Probability Distribution \[ \begin{array}{l}\text { Discussion Topic } \\ \text { Question: Imagine you're responsible for quality control in a factory that produces metal rods with lengths uniformly } \\ \text { distributed between } 95 \mathrm{~cm} \text { and } 105 \mathrm{~cm} \text {. } \\ \text { 1. Probability calculation: What is the probability that a randomly selected rod measures between } 98 \mathrm{~cm} \text { and } 102 \mathrm{~cm} \text { ? } \\ \text { 2. Quality specification: If rods shorter than } 96 \mathrm{~cm} \text { or longer than } 104 \mathrm{~cm} \text { are considered defective, what proportion of } \\ \text { the production is expected to be defective? } \\ \text { 3. Process Adjustment: To reduce the defect rate, management is considering adjusting the production process to } \\ \text { produce rods uniformly distributed between } 97 \mathrm{~cm} \text { and } 103 \mathrm{~cm} \text {. How would this change impact the proportion of } \\ \text { defective rods? }\end{array} \]
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The Deep Dive
The probability of selecting a rod between 98 cm and 102 cm can be calculated using the formula for a uniform distribution. The total length of the rod range is 10 cm (from 95 cm to 105 cm). The length of the desired range (98 cm to 102 cm) is 4 cm. Thus, the probability is given by the length of the desired range divided by the total range: \( P(98 \leq X \leq 102) = \frac{4}{10} = 0.4 \) or 40%. To determine the proportion of defective rods, consider the ranges outside the specifications (less than 96 cm or greater than 104 cm). The uniform distribution has a total length of 10 cm; the lengths below 96 cm (from 95 to 96 cm, which is 1 cm) and above 104 cm (from 104 to 105 cm, also 1 cm) add up to a total of 2 cm considered defective. Therefore, the proportion of defectives is \( \frac{2}{10} = 0.2 \) or 20%. If the rods are adjusted to be uniformly distributed between 97 cm and 103 cm, the total range is now 6 cm. The defective ranges now encompass those under 96 cm (0 cm, since the minimum is 97 cm) and over 104 cm (0 cm, since the maximum is 103 cm). This means no rods fall into the defective category, leading to a defect rate of 0% and a much-improved quality control outcome!
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