In a procuct labillyy ease, a company can settle out of court for a loss of \( \$ 850,000 \), or go to trial, loang \( \$ 1,200,000 \) ir found gully and nothind II found not gully, Lawers for the company estimate the probabilly of a noigully vertict to be 0.8 , Complete pats (a) through (b) below. a. What is the expected value of the ancunt the company can lose by taking the case to coutr \( \$ \) \( \square \)
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To calculate the expected value of the amount the company can lose by taking the case to court, we can use the formula for expected value, which considers both possible outcomes: a guilty verdict and a not guilty verdict. 1. **Guilty Verdict**: The company loses $1,200,000 with a probability of \( 0.2 \) (since the probability of a not guilty verdict is \( 0.8 \)). 2. **Not Guilty Verdict**: The company loses $0 with a probability of \( 0.8 \). So, the expected value (EV) can be calculated as follows: \[ EV = (Loss \, if \, guilty) \times (Probability \, of \, guilty) + (Loss \, if \, not \, guilty) \times (Probability \, of \, not \, guilty) \] \[ EV = (1,200,000 \times 0.2) + (0 \times 0.8) \] \[ EV = 240,000 + 0 = 240,000 \] Thus, the expected value of the amount the company can lose by going to court is \( \$240,000 \). Now, let's wrap it all up: The expected value of the amount the company can lose by taking the case to court is \( \$240,000 \).