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One Population 1) In past years the mean IQ of enlisted men in the Army was 103. A general claims that due to low pay, the average IQ of new enlisted men is lower than in the past. In a random sample of 60 enlistees, the mean IQ was 98 with a standard deviation of 20 . a) At the \( 8 \% \) significance level, what can be concluded about general's claim? b) What is the p-value of this test?

Ask by Conner Reed. in the United States
Feb 04,2025

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a) At the 8% significance level, the data support the general's claim that the average IQ of new enlisted men has decreased. b) The p-value of the test is approximately 0.0265.

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Let's analyze the problem step by step. ### **Given:** - **Historical Mean IQ (\( \mu_0 \))**: 103 - **Sample Mean (\( \bar{x} \))**: 98 - **Sample Size (\( n \))**: 60 - **Sample Standard Deviation (\( s \))**: 20 - **Significance Level (\( \alpha \))**: 8% or 0.08 ### **Hypotheses:** - **Null Hypothesis (\( H_0 \))**: \( \mu = 103 \) - **Alternative Hypothesis (\( H_a \))**: \( \mu < 103 \) (the general claims the mean IQ has decreased) --- ### **a) Conclusion at the 8% Significance Level** 1. **Calculate the Standard Error (SE):** \[ SE = \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{20}{\sqrt{60}} \approx \frac{20}{7.746} \approx 2.581 \] 2. **Compute the Test Statistic (z):** \[ z = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{SE} = \frac{98 - 103}{2.581} \approx \frac{-5}{2.581} \approx -1.936 \] 3. **Determine the Critical Value for \( \alpha = 0.08 \) (one-tailed test):** - Using standard normal distribution tables, the critical z-value for \( \alpha = 0.08 \) is approximately **-1.405**. 4. **Compare Test Statistic with Critical Value:** \[ -1.936 < -1.405 \] Since the test statistic is less than the critical value, we **reject the null hypothesis**. 5. **Conclusion:** - There is sufficient evidence at the 8% significance level to support the general's claim that the average IQ of new enlisted men is lower than in the past. --- ### **b) Calculating the p-value** 1. **Find the p-value corresponding to \( z = -1.936 \):** - Using standard normal distribution tables: - \( P(Z \leq -1.936) \approx 0.0265 \) or 2.65% 2. **Interpretation:** - The p-value is **approximately 0.0265**. - Since \( \text{p-value} = 0.0265 < \alpha = 0.08 \), this further confirms the decision to reject the null hypothesis. --- ### **Summary:** - **a)** At the 8% significance level, the test **supports the general's claim** that the average IQ of new enlisted men has decreased. - **b)** The **p-value** of this test is **approximately 0.0265**. Answer: a) At the 8 % level, the data provide sufficient evidence to accept the general’s claim that the mean IQ has decreased. b) The p-value for the test is approximately 0.0265.

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To determine whether the general's claim that the average IQ of new enlisted men is lower than in the past is statistically significant, we will conduct a one-sample t-test. a) Null Hypothesis (\(H_0\)): The mean IQ of new enlisted men is 103. Alternative Hypothesis (\(H_a\)): The mean IQ of new enlisted men is less than 103. Using the formula for the t statistic: \[ t = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{s / \sqrt{n}} = \frac{98 - 103}{20 / \sqrt{60}} \approx \frac{-5}{2.58} \approx -1.94 \] Degrees of freedom (\(df\)) = \(n-1 = 60-1 = 59\). We compare the t value to critical t values for a one-tailed test at \( \alpha = 0.08\), which is approximately -1.41 (using a t-table). Since -1.94 < -1.41, we reject the null hypothesis. This suggests that there is statistically significant evidence at the 8% level to support the general's claim that the average IQ of new enlisted men is lower than in the past. b) To find the p-value, we can look at the t-distribution with 59 degrees of freedom. Using a t-table or calculator: for \( t = -1.94 \), the p-value is approximately 0.03. Since 0.03 < 0.08, it supports our conclusion to reject the null hypothesis, reinforcing the general's claim.

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