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For this discussion, you will be able to pick one of the learning objectives we have covered in Module 6 or Module 7 in this case "Use logistic growth models" and develop a step-by-step list on how to solve the problem generically. Your post will contain all of the following: - State the learning objective that you are covering. - The How-to Guide you created for solving a generic form of the objective in your own words. - Give an example to illustrate the learning objective.

Ask by Cox Herrera. in the United States
Mar 23,2025

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# Learning Objective Use logistic growth models. # How-to Guide 1. **Start with the Logistic Equation:** Use the formula: \[ \frac{dP}{dt} = rP\left(1 - \frac{P}{K}\right) \] where \( P \) is the population, \( r \) is the growth rate, and \( K \) is the carrying capacity. 2. **Separate Variables:** Rewrite the equation to separate \( P \) and \( t \): \[ \frac{dP}{P\left(1 - \frac{P}{K}\right)} = r\,dt \] 3. **Integrate Both Sides:** Integrate to find the relationship between \( P \) and \( t \): \[ \ln \left|\frac{P}{K-P}\right| = rt + C \] where \( C \) is the constant of integration. 4. **Solve for \( P(t) \):** Rearrange the equation to express \( P(t) \) in terms of \( t \): \[ P(t) = \frac{K}{1 + Be^{-rt}} \] where \( B \) is determined by initial conditions. 5. **Apply Initial Conditions:** Use the initial population \( P_0 \) at \( t = 0 \) to find \( B \): \[ B = \frac{K - P_0}{P_0} \] Substitute \( B \) back into the equation to get the specific logistic growth model. # Example Suppose a population of bacteria grows with: - Growth rate \( r = 0.1 \) - Carrying capacity \( K = 1000 \) - Initial population \( P_0 = 10 \) Using the logistic model: \[ P(t) = \frac{1000}{1 + 99e^{-0.1t}} \] This equation shows how the population \( P(t) \) changes over time \( t \) based on the logistic growth model.

Solution

# Learning Objective Use logistic growth models. # How-to Guide 1. **Write the Logistic Differential Equation:** Begin with the logistic differential equation: \[ \frac{dP}{dt} = rP\left(1 - \frac{P}{K}\right) \] where \( P(t) \) is the population at time \( t \), \( r \) is the intrinsic growth rate, and \( K \) is the carrying capacity. 2. **Separate Variables:** Rewrite the differential equation to separate the variables: \[ \frac{dP}{P\left(1 - \frac{P}{K}\right)} = r\,dt \] 3. **Perform Partial Fraction Decomposition:** Decompose the left-hand side integral into partial fractions. Write: \[ \frac{1}{P\left(1 - \frac{P}{K}\right)} = \frac{1}{P} + \frac{1}{K-P} \] (Make sure to adjust coefficients appropriately if needed.) The goal is to express the integrand as a sum of terms that are easier to integrate. 4. **Integrate Both Sides:** Integrate the equation with respect to \( P \) and \( t \): \[ \int \left(\frac{\,dP}{P} + \frac{\,dP}{K-P}\right) = \int r\,dt \] The integrations yield: \[ \ln |P| - \ln |K-P| = rt + C \] where \( C \) is the constant of integration. 5. **Solve for \( P(t) \):** Combine the logarithms: \[ \ln \left|\frac{P}{K-P}\right| = rt + C \] Exponentiate both sides to eliminate the logarithm: \[ \left|\frac{P}{K-P}\right| = e^{rt+C} = Ae^{rt} \] where \( A = e^C \) is a constant. We can then solve for \( P(t) \): \[ \frac{P}{K-P} = Ae^{rt} \] Isolate \( P \) by cross-multiplying: \[ P = Ae^{rt}(K-P) \] \[ P + Ae^{rt}P = Ae^{rt}K \] \[ P(1 + Ae^{rt}) = Ae^{rt}K \] \[ P(t) = \frac{K Ae^{rt}}{1 + Ae^{rt}} \] Alternatively, you can express the solution using the constant determined by the initial condition: \[ P(t) = \frac{K}{1 + Be^{-rt}} \] where \( B \) is determined from the initial condition. 6. **Determine the Constant Using Initial Conditions:** Suppose the initial condition is \( P(0) = P_0 \). Substitute \( t = 0 \) into the solution: \[ P_0 = \frac{K}{1 + B} \] Solve for \( B \): \[ B = \frac{K - P_0}{P_0} \] The logistic growth model then becomes: \[ P(t) = \frac{K}{1 + \left(\frac{K-P_0}{P_0}\right)e^{-rt}} \] # Example Consider a population of bacteria where: - Intrinsic growth rate: \( r = 0.1 \) - Carrying capacity: \( K = 1000 \) - Initial population: \( P_0 = 10 \) Using the steps above: 1. Write the general solution: \[ P(t) = \frac{K}{1 + \left(\frac{K-P_0}{P_0}\right)e^{-rt}} \] 2. Calculate the constant \( B \): \[ B = \frac{K - P_0}{P_0} = \frac{1000 - 10}{10} = \frac{990}{10} = 99 \] 3. Substitute the values into the logistic model: \[ P(t) = \frac{1000}{1 + 99e^{-0.1t}} \] This function \( P(t) \) represents the bacteria population at time \( t \) based on the logistic growth model.

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Learning Objective: Use logistic growth models. How-to Guide to Solve a Logistic Growth Model Problem: 1. **Understand the Model**: The logistic growth model describes how a population grows rapidly at first and then slows as it approaches carrying capacity. It is represented by the equation: \( P(t) = \frac{K}{1 + \frac{K-P_0}{P_0} e^{-rt}} \) where \( P(t) \) is the population at time \( t \), \( K \) is the carrying capacity, \( P_0 \) is the initial population, \( r \) is the growth rate, and \( e \) is Euler's number. 2. **Identify Parameters**: Collect data to identify or estimate the values of \( K \), \( P_0 \), and \( r \). 3. **Set Initial Conditions**: Define initial conditions such as starting population size and maximum sustainable population size. 4. **Substitute Values Into the Equation**: Insert the identified parameters into the logistic equation. 5. **Calculate Population Over Time**: Use the equation to compute the population at various time intervals to visualize growth trends. 6. **Interpret the Results**: Analyze the graph to see how the population approaches carrying capacity and discuss implications for resource management and sustainability. Example: Imagine a small island that can support a maximum of 1,000 rabbits (K). If there are 50 rabbits initially (P0) and they have a growth rate of 0.1 (r), you can use the logistic growth model to predict how many rabbits there will be over time. By substituting these values into the equation, you can calculate the population after each time step and find that after 10 weeks, they might grow to 200 rabbits, and after several months, they will start to slow down as they approach the 1,000 mark. This shows the significance of carrying capacity in population management!

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