A bag contains 4 gold marbles, 8 silver marbles, and 26 black marbles. Someone offers to play this game: You randomly select one marble from the bag. If it is gold, you win \( \$ 3 \). If it is silver, you win \( \$ 2 \). If it is black, you lose \( \$ 1 \). What is your expected value if you play this game? Round your answer to two decimal places.
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Mind Expander
To calculate the expected value, we first need to identify the total number of marbles in the bag, which is \(4 + 8 + 26 = 38\) marbles. Next, we calculate the probabilities for each type of marble: - Probability of drawing a gold marble: \(\frac{4}{38} = \frac{2}{19}\) - Probability of drawing a silver marble: \(\frac{8}{38} = \frac{4}{19}\) - Probability of drawing a black marble: \(\frac{26}{38} = \frac{13}{19}\) Now we calculate the expected value (EV) by multiplying each outcome with its probability: - EV from gold marbles: \(\frac{2}{19} \times 3 = \frac{6}{19}\) - EV from silver marbles: \(\frac{4}{19} \times 2 = \frac{8}{19}\) - EV from black marbles: \(\frac{13}{19} \times (-1) = -\frac{13}{19}\) Now we sum these expected values: \[ EV = \frac{6}{19} + \frac{8}{19} - \frac{13}{19} = \frac{1}{19} \] To convert this into a decimal: \[ \frac{1}{19} \approx 0.0526 \] Rounding to two decimal places gives us: \[ \text{Expected Value} \approx 0.05 \] So, the expected value if you play this game is approximately \$0.05.