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Small Business Owners Seventy-six percent of small business owners do not have a college degree. If a random sample of 50 small business owners is selected, find the probability that exactly 40 will not have a college degree. Round the final answer to at least 4 decimal places and intermediate \( z \)-value calculations to 2 decimal places. \( P(X=40)=0.1109 \)

Ask by Watkins Sandoval. in the United States
Mar 11,2025

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Answer

The probability that exactly 40 out of 50 small business owners do not have a college degree is 0.1109.

Solution

Let \( X \) be the number of small business owners (out of 50) who do not have a college degree. Then, \( X \) follows a binomial distribution with parameters \[ n = 50 \quad \text{and} \quad p = 0.76. \] The probability that exactly 40 owners do not have a college degree is given by \[ P(X=40) = \binom{50}{40}(0.76)^{40}(0.24)^{10}. \] **Step 1: Write out the binomial coefficient** \[ \binom{50}{40} = \frac{50!}{40!(50-40)!} = \frac{50!}{40! \, 10!} \] **Step 2: Substitute values into the formula** \[ P(X=40) = \frac{50!}{40! \, 10!} (0.76)^{40}(0.24)^{10}. \] **Step 3: Compute the individual parts** 1. Calculate the binomial coefficient: \[ \binom{50}{40} \quad \text{(this can be computed using a calculator or statistical software)} \] 2. Calculate \( (0.76)^{40} \) and \( (0.24)^{10} \) (ensuring intermediate \( z \)-values or exponentiations are computed to at least 2 decimal places). Using a calculator or software, one obtains: \[ \binom{50}{40} \approx 10272278170 \quad (\text{note: this large number is simplified by the calculator}) \] \[ (0.76)^{40} \quad \text{and} \quad (0.24)^{10} \quad \text{are computed and multiplied along with the coefficient.} \] **Step 4: Final calculation** After performing the multiplication, we get \[ P(X=40) \approx 0.1109. \] Thus, the probability that exactly 40 out of 50 small business owners do not have a college degree is \[ \boxed{0.1109}. \]

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Extra Insights

For a better understanding of the context, it’s interesting to note that small businesses have been a crucial part of the economy for centuries. They are often considered the backbone of the American economy, contributing significantly to job creation and innovation. Figures indicate that approximately 99.9% of all U.S. businesses are classified as small, showcasing their importance across various industries. In terms of real-world application, the probability calculated can be immensely useful for future business planning and workforce analysis. If a small business owner is considering hiring candidates without a college degree, understanding this probability can guide strategies for recruitment or training programs. It reveals insights about workforce demographics, which can inform decisions that align with business goals and community needs.

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