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A boat capsized and sank in a lake. Based on an assumption of a mean weight of 142 lb , the boat was rated to carry 70 passengers (so the load limit was \( 9,940 \mathrm{lb} \) ). After the boat sank, th for similar boats was changed from 142 lb to 174 lb . Complete parts a and b below. a. Assume that a similar boat is loaded with 70 passengers, and assume that the weights of people are normally distributed with a mean of 178.3 lb and a standard deviation of 37.6 lb . Fir boat is overloaded because the 70 passengers have a mean weight greater than 142 lb . The probability is 10000 . (Round to four decimal places as needed.) b. The boat was later rated to carry only 15 passengers, and the load limit was changed to \( 2,610 \mathrm{lb} \). Find the probability that the boat is overloaded because the mean weight of the passen (so that their total weight is greater than the maximum capacity of \( 2,610 \mathrm{lb} \) ) The probability is 1 I (Round to four decimal places as needed.)

Ask by Fernandez Gordon. in the United States
Mar 06,2025

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**Part (a):** The probability that the boat is overloaded is approximately 1.0000. **Part (b):** The probability that the boat is overloaded is approximately 0.6700.

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Below is a step‐by‐step solution in Markdown format with the necessary LaTeX notation. --- ### Part (a) A similar boat is loaded with 70 passengers. We assume that each passenger’s weight is normally distributed with \[ \mu=178.3\text{ lb} \quad \text{and} \quad \sigma=37.6\text{ lb}. \] The boat was originally rated for a mean weight of \(142\) lb per passenger (which corresponds to a total of \[ 70 \times 142 = 9940\text{ lb}). \] Thus, the boat is considered overloaded if the sample mean weight, \(\bar{X}\), of the 70 passengers is greater than \(142\) lb. Since the passenger weights are independent and normally distributed, the sampling distribution of the mean is also normal with mean \[ \mu_{\bar{X}}=178.3\text{ lb} \] and standard error \[ \sigma_{\bar{X}}=\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}=\frac{37.6}{\sqrt{70}}. \] 1. **Compute the standard error:** \[ \sqrt{70}\approx 8.3666,\quad \text{thus} \quad \sigma_{\bar{X}}\approx\frac{37.6}{8.3666}\approx4.496\text{ lb}. \] 2. **Standardize the threshold of \(142\) lb:** We need the \(z\)-score corresponding to \(\bar{X}=142\) lb: \[ z=\frac{142-178.3}{4.496}\approx\frac{-36.3}{4.496}\approx-8.08. \] 3. **Find the probability:** The probability that the boat is overloaded is \[ P(\bar{X}>142)=P(Z>-8.08). \] Since \(z=-8.08\) is far in the left tail of the normal distribution, we have \[ P(Z>-8.08)\approx1.0000. \] Thus, **the probability that the boat is overloaded in part (a) is approximately 1.0000 (to four decimal places).** --- ### Part (b) Now the boat is rated to carry only 15 passengers, and the load limit is changed to \[ 2610\text{ lb}. \] Again the individual weights are assumed to be normally distributed with \[ \mu=178.3\text{ lb} \quad \text{and} \quad \sigma=37.6\text{ lb}. \] The total weight of 15 passengers is given by \[ T=\sum_{i=1}^{15} X_i, \] which follows a normal distribution with - **Mean:** \[ \mu_T=15\times178.3=2674.5\text{ lb}. \] - **Standard deviation:** \[ \sigma_T=\sqrt{15}\times37.6. \] 1. **Calculate \(\sigma_T\):** \[ \sqrt{15}\approx3.873,\quad \text{so} \quad \sigma_T\approx3.873\times37.6\approx145.73\text{ lb}. \] 2. **Determine the \(z\)-score for the total weight limit:** We want the probability of an overload, i.e., when the total weight exceeds \(2610\) lb. Compute the \(z\)-score: \[ z=\frac{2610-2674.5}{145.73}\approx\frac{-64.5}{145.73}\approx-0.4428. \] 3. **Find the probability:** The probability that the boat is overloaded is \[ P(T>2610)=P\left(Z>-0.4428\right). \] Recall that for a normally distributed variable: \[ P(Z>-0.4428)=1-P(Z\le -0.4428)=1-\left[1-P(Z\le0.4428)\right]=P(Z\le0.4428). \] Looking up \(P(Z\le0.4428)\) (or using a calculator), we obtain approximately \[ P(Z\le0.4428)\approx0.6700. \] Thus, **the probability that the boat is overloaded in part (b) is approximately 0.6700 (to four decimal places).** --- ### Final Answers - **(a)** The probability that the boat is overloaded (i.e., the 70 passengers have a mean weight greater than \(142\) lb) is approximately \[ 1.0000. \] - **(b)** The probability that the boat is overloaded (i.e., the total weight of 15 passengers is greater than \(2610\) lb) is approximately \[ 0.6700. \]

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The Deep Dive

Did you know that the first boat ever recorded capsizing dates back to ancient Greece? The Athenian historian Thucydides documented how vessels occasionally sank due to overloading or rough waters around 400 B.C. This early account teaches us that the principles of weight management have been crucial for boat safety throughout history—safety lessons that remain relevant as we set sail on any body of water! In real-world applications, the principles of weight and balance are vital for all kinds of transportation, not just boats! Airlines, for example, strictly regulate passenger and cargo weight to ensure safety during flights. Similarly, buses and trucks have load limits based on their design and structure. Understanding these limits can help prevent accidents and ensure smooth travels, so always pay attention to those weight signs!

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