Question
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A5. In testing a truck tyre over rugged terrain, it is found that of the trucks fail
to complete the test run without a blowout. Of the next 15 trucks tested, find the
probability that:
(a) from 3 to 6 inclusive have blow-outs
(b) fewer than 4 have blow-outs.
© more than 5 have blow-outs.

Ask by Sullivan Williams. in South Africa
Mar 29,2025

Upstudy AI Solution

Tutor-Verified Answer

Answer

To find the probabilities:
(a) The probability that between 3 and 6 trucks (inclusive) have blow-outs is calculated by summing the probabilities for 3, 4, 5, and 6 blow-outs.
(b) The probability that fewer than 4 trucks have blow-outs is the sum of probabilities for 0, 1, 2, and 3 blow-outs.
© The probability that more than 5 trucks have blow-outs is found by subtracting the sum of probabilities for 0 to 5 blow-outs from 1.
These calculations use the binomial distribution with trials and a success probability of for each trial.

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Bonus Knowledge

To solve this problem, we will use the binomial probability formula. The probability of getting successes (in this case, blow-outs) in trials can be calculated using:
Where:
  • = number of trials (15 trucks)
  • = probability of success (0.25 blow-out rate)
  • = number of successes (number of blow-outs)
  • = binomial coefficient

(a) Probability that from 3 to 6 inclusive have blow-outs

We want to find:
Calculating each term:
  • For :
  • For :
  • For :
  • For :
So,

(b) Probability that fewer than 4 have blow-outs

We want to find:
Calculating each term:
  • For :
  • For :
  • For :
  • For :
So,

© Probability that more than 5 have blow-outs

We want to find:
We can use the values already computed:
Then,

Summary of Probabilities

  • (a) Probability from 3 to 6 blow-outs: ≈ 0.818
  • (b) Probability fewer than 4 blow-outs: ≈ 0.445
  • © Probability more than 5 blow-outs: ≈ 0.132

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