3.2 Roulette wheel. A "new and improved" version of roulette involves spinning a wheel with 23 red, 23 black, and 5 green slots. A ball is spun onto the wheel and will eventually land in a slot, where each slot has an equal chance of capturing the ball. (a) You watch a roulette wheel spin 3 consecutive times and the ball lands on a red slot each time. What is the probability that the ball will land on a red slot on the next spin?
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The probability of landing on a red slot in any single spin of the roulette wheel remains constant, regardless of previous outcomes. Since there are 23 red slots, 23 black slots, and 5 green slots, the total number of slots is 23 + 23 + 5 = 51. The probability of landing on red is therefore 23/51, or approximately 0.451, which is about 45.1%. No matter how many times you've seen the ball land on red before, each spin is an independent event, so your past observations don't influence the next outcome. Keep this in mind to avoid the gambler's fallacy!