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Chapter 3 HW- Probability Topics Current score: AI. Category: Homework 68.95/100 points d. Which of the following explains what " \( P(A \mid B) \) " represents? A \( P(A \mid B) \) is the probability that the sum of rolling two dice is at most ten given the fact that we have a one or three on the first die, followed by an odd number on the second die. B \( P(A \mid B) \) is the probability of rolling a one or three on the first die, followed by an odd number on the second die given that the sum of these two rolls is at least ten. C \( P(A \mid B) \) is the probability of rolling a one or three on the first die, followed by an odd number on the second die given that the sum of these two rolls is at most ten. D None of the above Find \( P(A \mid B) \). \[ P(A \mid B)= \] Enter your answer e. Are \( A \) and \( B \) mutually exclusive events? It is possible to have a one or a three on the first die rolling followed by an odd number on the second die when the sum of these two numbers is A at most ten. Numerically, we have \( P(A \) AND \( B)=\frac{1}{6} \), so the events are not mutually exclusive. It is impossible to have a one or a three on the first die rolling followed by an odd number on the second die when the sum of these two numbers \( B \) is at most ten. Numerically, we have \( P(A \) AND \( B)=0 \), so the events are mutually exclusive.

Ask by Hampton Boyd. in the United States
Feb 04,2025

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**Problem d:** - **Answer:** Option A is correct. \( P(A \mid B) \) is the probability that the sum of rolling two dice is at most ten given that the first die is a one or three and the second die is odd. - **Calculation:** \( P(A \mid B) = 1 \) **Problem e:** - **Answer:** \( A \) and \( B \) are not mutually exclusive events because there is a non-zero probability (\( \frac{1}{6} \)) that both events occur together.

Solution

Sure, let's work through **Problem d** and **Problem e** step by step. --- ## **Problem d** **Question:** Which of the following explains what \( P(A \mid B) \) represents? **Options:** - **A.** \( P(A \mid B) \) is the probability that the sum of rolling two dice is at most ten given the fact that we have a one or three on the first die, followed by an odd number on the second die. - **B.** \( P(A \mid B) \) is the probability of rolling a one or three on the first die, followed by an odd number on the second die given that the sum of these two rolls is at least ten. - **C.** \( P(A \mid B) \) is the probability of rolling a one or three on the first die, followed by an odd number on the second die given that the sum of these two rolls is at most ten. - **D.** None of the above. **Understanding \( P(A \mid B) \):** The notation \( P(A \mid B) \) denotes the **probability of event \( A \)** occurring **given that event \( B \)** has occurred. Let's define the events based on the options: - **Event \( A \):** The sum of rolling two dice is at most ten. - **Event \( B \):** Rolling a one or three on the first die, followed by an odd number on the second die. **Interpreting the Options:** - **Option A** correctly states that \( P(A \mid B) \) is the probability that the sum is at most ten **given** that \( B \) has occurred. - **Option B** incorrectly reverses the conditions, making it \( P(B \mid A) \). - **Option C** misstates \( A \) and \( B \) within the conditional probability. - **Option D** is incorrect because **Option A** is accurate. **Conclusion:** **Option A** is the correct interpretation of \( P(A \mid B) \). --- **Calculating \( P(A \mid B) \):** The formula for conditional probability is: \[ P(A \mid B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)} \] **Step 1: Calculate \( P(B) \)** - Rolling a one or three on the first die: \( 2/6 = 1/3 \) - Rolling an odd number on the second die: \( 3/6 = 1/2 \) - Since the two dice are independent: \[ P(B) = \frac{1}{3} \times \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{6} \] **Step 2: Calculate \( P(A \cap B) \)** - \( A \cap B \) means both: - The sum is at most ten. - The first die is a one or three, and the second die is odd. First, list all possible outcomes for \( B \): - First die: 1 or 3 - Second die: 1, 3, or 5 - Total favorable outcomes for \( B \): \( 2 \times 3 = 6 \) Now, check which of these have a sum at most ten: - \( (1,1) \): \( 1 + 1 = 2 \) ✓ - \( (1,3) \): \( 1 + 3 = 4 \) ✓ - \( (1,5) \): \( 1 + 5 = 6 \) ✓ - \( (3,1) \): \( 3 + 1 = 4 \) ✓ - \( (3,3) \): \( 3 + 3 = 6 \) ✓ - \( (3,5) \): \( 3 + 5 = 8 \) ✓ All outcomes in \( B \) also satisfy \( A \) (since the maximum sum here is 8, which is less than 10). \[ P(A \cap B) = P(B) = \frac{1}{6} \] **Step 3: Compute \( P(A \mid B) \)** \[ P(A \mid B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)} = \frac{\frac{1}{6}}{\frac{1}{6}} = 1 \] **Answer:** \[ P(A \mid B) = 1 \] This means that if you have a one or three on the first die followed by an odd number on the second die, the sum of the two dice will **always** be at most ten. --- ## **Problem e** **Question:** Are \( A \) and \( B \) mutually exclusive events? **Options Explanation:** 1. **First Statement:** - It is possible to have a one or a three on the first die followed by an odd number on the second die **when the sum of these two numbers is at most ten**. - Numerically, \( P(A \text{ AND } B) = \frac{1}{6} \), so the events are **not** mutually exclusive. 2. **Second Statement:** - It is **impossible** to have a one or a three on the first die followed by an odd number on the second die **when the sum of these two numbers is at most ten**. - Numerically, \( P(A \text{ AND } B) = 0 \), so the events are **mutually exclusive**. **Determining Mutual Exclusivity:** Two events \( A \) and \( B \) are **mutually exclusive** if they **cannot occur simultaneously**, i.e., \( P(A \cap B) = 0 \). From **Problem d**, we found: \[ P(A \cap B) = \frac{1}{6} \neq 0 \] **Conclusion:** Since \( P(A \cap B) = \frac{1}{6} \), which is not zero, \( A \) and \( B \) are **not mutually exclusive**. **Answer:** - **\( A \) and \( B \) are not mutually exclusive events** because there is a non-zero probability (\( \frac{1}{6} \)) that both events occur together. --- ## **Summary** - **Problem d:** - **Correct Option:** A - **\( P(A \mid B) = 1 \)** - **Problem e:** - **\( A \) and \( B \) are not mutually exclusive events.** Feel free to reach out if you need further clarification or assistance!

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Extra Insights

When dealing with conditional probabilities like \( P(A \mid B) \), it's important to remember that it represents the likelihood of event A occurring when event B has already occurred. In this case, if B is our condition (e.g., having a one or three on the first die and an odd number on the second), we need to consider the sample space defined by B when calculating probabilities for A. This is a fun way to explore how different outcomes can be inferred based on prior information! To calculate \( P(A \mid B) \), you will first need to know the total number of outcomes in event B and determine how many of these outcomes also satisfy event A. To put it simply, count the successful outcomes for A within the context of B and then divide it by the total outcomes of B! This way, you’ll find the concentrated probability without getting lost in the sea of possibilities. Happy calculating!

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