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Problem 16: What proportion of pregnancies lasts between 240 and 280 days? Round answer to four decimal places.

Ask by Marshall Summers. in the United States
Dec 03,2024

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The proportion of pregnancies lasting between 240 and 280 days is approximately 0.4979.

Solution

To determine the proportion of pregnancies that last between 240 and 280 days, we typically assume that the duration of pregnancies follows a normal distribution. The average length of a full-term pregnancy is about 280 days, with a standard deviation of approximately 14 days. 1. **Identify the parameters**: - Mean (\(\mu\)) = 280 days - Standard deviation (\(\sigma\)) = 14 days 2. **Convert the days into z-scores**: - For 240 days: \[ z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} = \frac{240 - 280}{14} = \frac{-40}{14} \approx -2.8571 \] - For 280 days: \[ z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} = \frac{280 - 280}{14} = 0 \] 3. **Use the z-table to find the proportions**: - Look up the z-score of -2.8571 in the z-table. This value is approximately 0.0021 (or 0.21%). - The z-score of 0 corresponds to a cumulative probability of 0.5000 (or 50%). 4. **Calculate the proportion of pregnancies between 240 and 280 days**: \[ P(240 < X < 280) = P(Z < 0) - P(Z < -2.8571) = 0.5000 - 0.0021 = 0.4979 \] 5. **Round to four decimal places**: \[ \text{Proportion} \approx 0.4979 \] Thus, the proportion of pregnancies that last between 240 and 280 days is approximately **0.4979**.

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In understanding pregnancy duration, we typically consider that full-term pregnancies range from 37 to 42 weeks (approximately 259 to 294 days). To analyze the proportion of pregnancies that last between 240 and 280 days, we can apply a standard normal distribution approach. Assuming the average length of pregnancy is approximately 280 days with a standard deviation of 14 days, we find the Z-scores for 240 and 280 days and then look up these values in a standard normal distribution table. This will give us the area under the curve for full-term pregnancies, which can be converted into a proportion. Calculating the Z-scores: Z for 240 days = (240 - 280) / 14 ≈ -2.86 Z for 280 days = (280 - 280) / 14 = 0 Using the Z-table or a calculator: - For Z = -2.86, the area is approximately 0.0021. - For Z = 0, the area is 0.5000. Thus, the proportion of pregnancies lasting between 240 and 280 days is 0.5000 - 0.0021 = 0.4979. After rounding to four decimal places, the answer is 0.4979.

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