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The time value of money is accounted for in decision trees using which of the following? EMV calculations Discounted payoffs Required rates of return Sensitivity analysis

Ask by Reid Carlson. in the United States
Mar 10,2025

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Discounted payoffs account for the time value of money in decision trees.

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The time value of money is accounted for in decision trees primarily through **Discounted payoffs**. Here's a brief explanation of each option: 1. **EMV calculations**: Expected Monetary Value (EMV) is a decision-making tool that calculates the average outcome when the future includes scenarios that may or may not happen. While it considers probabilities, it does not inherently account for the time value of money. 2. **Discounted payoffs**: This method explicitly incorporates the time value of money by discounting future cash flows to their present value. This allows decision-makers to evaluate the worth of future payoffs in today's terms. 3. **Required rates of return**: This concept relates to the minimum return an investor expects to achieve from an investment, which can indirectly consider the time value of money, but it is not a direct method used in decision trees. 4. **Sensitivity analysis**: This technique assesses how sensitive the outcomes of a decision are to changes in input variables. It does not directly account for the time value of money. In summary, the correct answer is **Discounted payoffs**.

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Discounted payoffs are used in decision trees to account for the time value of money. This method adjusts future cash flows back to their present value, enabling decision-makers to assess the true worth of potential outcomes more accurately. It essentially acknowledges that a dollar today is more valuable than a dollar in the future due to its earning potential over time. Required rates of return come into play as they represent the minimum acceptable return on an investment. In decision trees, these rates help investors determine whether the expected returns justifying the risk involved in each decision path make logical sense. It's like setting your own yardstick to measure if the risk is worth the potential reward!

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