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Confidence in banks: A news poll conducted in 2012 asked a random sample of 1220 adults in the United States how much confidence they had in banks and other financial institutions. A total of 156 adults said that they had a great deal of confidence. An economist claims that greater than \( \mathbf{1 2 \%} \) of U.S. adults have a great deal of confidence in banks. Can you conclude that the economist's claim is true? Use both \( \alpha=0.10 \) and \( \alpha=0.01 \) levels of significance and the criticat vatue method with the table. Part: \( 0 / 5 \) Part 1 of 5 State the appropriate null and alternate hypotheses. \[ \begin{array}{l} H_{0}: p=0.12 \\ H_{1}: p>0.12 \end{array} \] This hypothesis test is a \( \square \) right-talled test. ■<0 \( \square>\square \) \( \square=\square \) \( \square \geqslant \square \) p This hypothesis test is a ght-tailed \( \square \) Part: \( 1 / 5 \) Part 2 of 5 Find the critical values. Round the answer to three decimal places. For \( \alpha=0.10 \), the critical value is \( \square \) 1.282 For \( \alpha=0.01 \), the critical value is 2.326 . Part: \( 2 / 5 \) Part 3 of 5 Compute the test statistic. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round the answer to two decimal places. \[ z=0.86 \] Part: \( 3 / 5 \) Part 4 of 5 Determine whether to reject \( H_{0} \). At the \( \alpha=0.10 \) level, (Choose one) \( \mathbf{~} \) the null hypothesis \( H_{0} \). reiect At the \( \alpha=0.01 \) level, do not reject Lunoose biet the null hypothesis \( H_{0} \).

Ask by Welch Lewis. in the United States
Feb 19,2025

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At both \( \alpha = 0.10 \) and \( \alpha = 0.01 \) levels, we do not reject the null hypothesis. Therefore, there is not enough evidence to support the economist's claim that more than \( 12\% \) of U.S. adults have a great deal of confidence in banks.

Solution

Let's go through the hypothesis testing step by step. ### Part 1: State the Hypotheses The null and alternative hypotheses are correctly stated as: \[ \begin{array}{l} H_{0}: p = 0.12 \\ H_{1}: p > 0.12 \end{array} \] This hypothesis test is a **right-tailed test**. ### Part 2: Find the Critical Values To find the critical values for the significance levels \( \alpha = 0.10 \) and \( \alpha = 0.01 \): 1. For \( \alpha = 0.10 \): - The critical value from the z-table for a right-tailed test at \( \alpha = 0.10 \) is approximately \( z = 1.282 \). 2. For \( \alpha = 0.01 \): - The critical value from the z-table for a right-tailed test at \( \alpha = 0.01 \) is approximately \( z = 2.326 \). ### Part 3: Compute the Test Statistic To compute the test statistic \( z \), we use the formula: \[ z = \frac{\hat{p} - p_0}{\sqrt{\frac{p_0(1 - p_0)}{n}}} \] Where: - \( \hat{p} = \frac{x}{n} \) is the sample proportion, - \( p_0 = 0.12 \) is the hypothesized population proportion, - \( n = 1220 \) is the sample size, - \( x = 156 \) is the number of adults with a great deal of confidence. First, calculate \( \hat{p} \): \[ \hat{p} = \frac{156}{1220} \approx 0.1287 \] Now, substitute the values into the formula: \[ z = \frac{0.1287 - 0.12}{\sqrt{\frac{0.12(1 - 0.12)}{1220}}} \] Calculating the denominator: \[ \sqrt{\frac{0.12 \times 0.88}{1220}} \approx \sqrt{\frac{0.1056}{1220}} \approx \sqrt{0.0000865} \approx 0.0093 \] Now, calculate \( z \): \[ z = \frac{0.1287 - 0.12}{0.0093} \approx \frac{0.0087}{0.0093} \approx 0.9355 \] Rounding to two decimal places, we get: \[ z \approx 0.94 \] ### Part 4: Determine Whether to Reject \( H_{0} \) Now we compare the test statistic \( z \) with the critical values: 1. For \( \alpha = 0.10 \): - Critical value: \( 1.282 \) - Test statistic: \( 0.94 \) - Since \( 0.94 < 1.282 \), we **do not reject** \( H_{0} \). 2. For \( \alpha = 0.01 \): - Critical value: \( 2.326 \) - Test statistic: \( 0.94 \) - Since \( 0.94 < 2.326 \), we **do not reject** \( H_{0} \). ### Conclusion At both significance levels \( \alpha = 0.10 \) and \( \alpha = 0.01 \), we do not have enough evidence to support the economist's claim that greater than \( 12\% \) of U.S. adults have a great deal of confidence in banks.

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Let’s throw a spotlight on confidence in banks! Historically, a significant shift occurred post-2008 financial crisis when public trust in banks plummeted. This led to numerous regulations and oversight changes like the Dodd-Frank Act. Today, the sentiment has somewhat rebounded, but the lingering doubts from that period make polling data essential for economists trying to gauge public faith in financial institutions. As for real-world applications, understanding public confidence in banks is crucial for policymakers and financial institutions. If confidence is low, banks may struggle with deposits and loans, affecting liquidity and overall economic stability. Conversely, high confidence can motivate investment and spending, bolstering economic growth. Thus, such polls not only provide insight into consumer sentiment but can also influence financial strategies and economic policies!

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