You are a new business owner and ordered 200 promotional smart phone cases to give out to clients. The seller has said that 8 of the cases are defective. You unpack the package and inspect 15 of the cases. 1. What is the probability that 10 are defective? 2. What is the probability that all 15 are defective?
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When calculating probabilities for defective cases, we're dealing with a hypergeometric distribution since we're sampling without replacement. Since only 8 out of 200 cases are defective, the probability of selecting 10 defective cases in a random sample of 15 is actually 0, as it’s impossible to select more defective cases than are present. Additionally, the chance of finding all 15 cases defective is also 0 for the same reason. There are only 8 defective cases in total; hence, it’s simply not feasible to find all 15 from a sample. It’s a classic case of understanding limits within sampling!