Answer
The probability that all four bulbs are of the same color is \( \frac{962}{20736} \). The probability that the first two bulbs are of the same color and the last two are of different colors is \( \frac{1440}{20736} \).
Solution
To solve this problem, we first need to extract the known conditions:
- The box contains:
- 3 blue bulbs
- 4 yellow bulbs
- 5 red bulbs
- Total number of bulbs = \(3 + 4 + 5 = 12\)
- We are drawing 4 bulbs at random with replacement.
Now, let's solve the problem step by step.
### Part (i): Probability that all four bulbs are of the same color
1. **Calculate the probability of drawing 4 bulbs of the same color:**
- The probability of drawing 4 blue bulbs:
\[
P(\text{4 blue}) = \left(\frac{3}{12}\right)^4
\]
- The probability of drawing 4 yellow bulbs:
\[
P(\text{4 yellow}) = \left(\frac{4}{12}\right)^4
\]
- The probability of drawing 4 red bulbs:
\[
P(\text{4 red}) = \left(\frac{5}{12}\right)^4
\]
2. **Total probability for all four bulbs being the same color:**
\[
P(\text{all same color}) = P(\text{4 blue}) + P(\text{4 yellow}) + P(\text{4 red})
\]
Now, let's calculate these probabilities.
### Part (ii): Probability that the first two are of the same color and the last two are of different colors
1. **Calculate the probability of the first two bulbs being the same color:**
- The probability of the first two being blue:
\[
P(\text{2 blue}) = \left(\frac{3}{12}\right)^2
\]
- The probability of the first two being yellow:
\[
P(\text{2 yellow}) = \left(\frac{4}{12}\right)^2
\]
- The probability of the first two being red:
\[
P(\text{2 red}) = \left(\frac{5}{12}\right)^2
\]
2. **Calculate the probability of the last two being different colors:**
- If the first two are blue, the last two can be yellow and red:
\[
P(\text{last two different | 2 blue}) = P(\text{yellow}) \cdot P(\text{red}) + P(\text{red}) \cdot P(\text{yellow}) = 2 \cdot \left(\frac{4}{12} \cdot \frac{5}{12}\right)
\]
- If the first two are yellow, the last two can be blue and red:
\[
P(\text{last two different | 2 yellow}) = 2 \cdot \left(\frac{3}{12} \cdot \frac{5}{12}\right)
\]
- If the first two are red, the last two can be blue and yellow:
\[
P(\text{last two different | 2 red}) = 2 \cdot \left(\frac{3}{12} \cdot \frac{4}{12}\right)
\]
3. **Total probability for the first two being the same color and the last two being different colors:**
\[
P(\text{first two same, last two different}) = P(\text{2 blue}) \cdot P(\text{last two different | 2 blue}) + P(\text{2 yellow}) \cdot P(\text{last two different | 2 yellow}) + P(\text{2 red}) \cdot P(\text{last two different | 2 red})
\]
Now, let's calculate these probabilities.
### Calculating the probabilities
Let's perform the calculations for both parts.
#### Part (i) Calculations
1. \( P(\text{4 blue}) = \left(\frac{3}{12}\right)^4 = \frac{81}{20736} \)
2. \( P(\text{4 yellow}) = \left(\frac{4}{12}\right)^4 = \frac{256}{20736} \)
3. \( P(\text{4 red}) = \left(\frac{5}{12}\right)^4 = \frac{625}{20736} \)
Now, summing these probabilities:
\[
P(\text{all same color}) = \frac{81 + 256 + 625}{20736} = \frac{962}{20736}
\]
#### Part (ii) Calculations
1. \( P(\text{2 blue}) = \left(\frac{3}{12}\right)^2 = \frac{9}{144} \)
2. \( P(\text{2 yellow}) = \left(\frac{4}{12}\right)^2 = \frac{16}{144} \)
3. \( P(\text{2 red}) = \left(\frac{5}{12}\right)^2 = \frac{25}{144} \)
Now, calculating the last two being different colors:
- For blue:
\[
P(\text{last two different | 2 blue}) = 2 \cdot \left(\frac{4}{12} \cdot \frac{5}{12}\right) = 2 \cdot \frac{20}{144} = \frac{40}{144}
\]
- For yellow:
\[
P(\text{last two different | 2 yellow}) = 2 \cdot \left(\frac{3}{12} \cdot \frac{5}{12}\right) = 2 \cdot \frac{15}{144} = \frac{30}{144}
\]
- For red:
\[
P(\text{last two different | 2 red}) = 2 \cdot \left(\frac{3}{12} \cdot \frac{4}{12}\right) = 2 \cdot \frac{12}{144} = \frac{24}{144}
\]
Now, summing these probabilities:
\[
P(\text{first two same, last two different}) = \frac{9}{144} \cdot \frac{40}{144} + \frac{16}{144} \cdot \frac{30}{144} + \frac{25}{144} \cdot \frac{24}{144}
\]
Calculating each term:
1. \( \frac{9 \cdot 40}{144^2} = \frac{360}{20736} \)
2. \( \frac{16 \cdot 30}{144^2} = \frac{480}{20736} \)
3. \( \frac{25 \cdot 24}{144^2} = \frac{600}{20736} \)
Now, summing these:
\[
P(\text{first two same, last two different}) = \frac{360 + 480 + 600}{20736} =
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