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xponential Models of Growth and Decay and Average Rate of Change 0) Pika populations are increasing by \( 2.5 \% \) each year. As of 2025 , the population is 200 . How does the decrease in the pika population from years 1 to 5 compare to the decrease from years 6 to 10 ? - Write the exponential functions for pika population:

Ask by Nichols Davey. in the United States
Mar 08,2025

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The pika population increases by 2.5% each year, starting at 200 in 2025. The population change from years 1 to 5 is less than the change from years 6 to 10 because exponential growth accelerates over time.

Solution

Let \( t \) represent the number of years after 2025. Because the population increases by \(2.5\%\) each year and the population in 2025 is 200, we have \[ P(t)=200\cdot (1.025)^t, \] or equivalently, for any year \( y \), \[ P(y)=200\cdot (1.025)^{y-2025}. \] Next, we compare the absolute change in population over two intervals. Although the population is increasing, we can look at how the change (difference in population) over years 1–5 compares to the change over years 6–10. 1. For years 1 to 5 (i.e. \( t=1 \) to \( t=5 \)): \[ \Delta P_{1\to5}=P(5)-P(1)=200\cdot (1.025)^5-200\cdot (1.025)^1. \] 2. For years 6 to 10 (i.e. \( t=6 \) to \( t=10 \)): \[ \Delta P_{6\to10}=P(10)-P(6)=200\cdot (1.025)^{10}-200\cdot (1.025)^6. \] Because exponential functions grow at an increasing rate, we expect \[ \Delta P_{6\to10} > \Delta P_{1\to5}. \] To see this more clearly, factor as follows: - For years 1 to 5: \[ \Delta P_{1\to5}=200\cdot\Bigl[(1.025)^5-(1.025)^1\Bigr]. \] - For years 6 to 10: \[ \Delta P_{6\to10}=200\cdot\Bigl[(1.025)^{10}-(1.025)^6\Bigr]. \] Notice that \[ (1.025)^{10}=(1.025)^5\cdot(1.025)^5 \quad \text{and} \quad (1.025)^6=(1.025)^1\cdot(1.025)^5. \] So we can write \[ \Delta P_{6\to10}=200\cdot (1.025)^5\Bigl[(1.025)^5-(1.025)^1\Bigr]. \] This shows that \[ \Delta P_{6\to10}=(1.025)^5\cdot\Delta P_{1\to5}. \] Since \((1.025)^5>1\), the change (increase) in the later interval (years 6 to 10) is larger than the change in the earlier interval (years 1 to 5).

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Bonus Knowledge

The exponential function for the pika population can be represented as \( P(t) = P_0 \cdot (1 + r)^t \), where \( P_0 \) is the initial population, \( r \) is the growth rate, and \( t \) is the number of years. Given that the population in 2025 is 200 and it grows by 2.5% annually, we can deduce that \( P_0 = \frac{200}{(1 + 0.025)^{5}} \approx 186.71 \). Therefore, the function becomes \( P(t) = 186.71 \cdot (1.025)^t \). In comparing the decreases in population, from years 1 to 5, the population increases from approximately 186.71 to 200. From years 6 to 10, the following calculations show similar growth, as \( P(10) = 186.71 \cdot (1.025)^{10} \approx 234.75 \). This indicates that the population does not actually decrease in those periods, but rather reflects continuous growth, exhibiting an increasing trend over both intervals. To accurately analyze trends, one might want to compute the actual numerical differences across the defined periods: the first interval results in growth rather than a decline, showcasing sustained population boosts. In fact, this emphasizes the importance of understanding how exponential growth shapes ecological dynamics!

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