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The population of rabbits on an island is growing exponentially. In the year 1990, the population of rabbits was 2100 , and by 1993 the population had grown to 3100 . Predict the population of rabbits in the year 2000, to the nearest whole number. Answer Attempt 2 out of 3

Ask by Matthews Campbell. in the United States
Mar 12,2025

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The rabbit population in the year 2000 is predicted to be approximately 7,682.

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Let \( P(t) \) denote the population \( t \) years after 1990. With exponential growth, we model the population as \[ P(t) = P_0 e^{kt}. \] **Step 1.** In 1990 (\( t = 0 \)), the population is \[ P(0) = 2100, \] so \[ P_0 = 2100. \] **Step 2.** In 1993 (\( t = 3 \)), the population is 3100, hence \[ P(3) = 2100 \, e^{3k} = 3100. \] Solve for \( k \): \[ e^{3k} = \frac{3100}{2100} = \frac{31}{21}. \] Taking the natural logarithm on both sides gives \[ 3k = \ln\left(\frac{31}{21}\right), \] so \[ k = \frac{1}{3} \ln\left(\frac{31}{21}\right). \] **Step 3.** Predict the population in 2000. Since 2000 corresponds to \( t = 10 \) (years after 1990), we have \[ P(10) = 2100 \, e^{10k}. \] Substitute the expression for \( k \): \[ P(10) = 2100 \, e^{\frac{10}{3} \ln\left(\frac{31}{21}\right)}. \] Using the property \( e^{a \ln b} = b^a \), this simplifies to \[ P(10) = 2100 \left(\frac{31}{21}\right)^{\frac{10}{3}}. \] **Step 4.** Compute the value: Calculate the numerical value of \[ \left(\frac{31}{21}\right)^{\frac{10}{3}}. \] Using a calculator, \[ \left(\frac{31}{21}\right)^{\frac{10}{3}} \approx 3.658, \] thus \[ P(10) \approx 2100 \times 3.658 \approx 7681.8. \] Rounded to the nearest whole number, the predicted population in 2000 is \[ \boxed{7682}. \]

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To predict the rabbit population in 2000, we can first establish the growth rate using the exponential growth model. Between 1990 and 1993, the population increased from 2100 to 3100. This tells us the growth factor over those three years is approximately 1.476. Applying this growth rate and projecting it forward to the year 2000 (which is another seven years), we can estimate that the population will be around 5903 rabbits. But don't forget, this model assumes constant growth and doesn't account for environmental factors like food supply or predation, which can dramatically change animal populations. So while it's good for making initial predictions, keep an eye on those real-world variables!

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