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Carbon monoxide (CO) emissions for a certain kind of car vary with mean \( 2.022 \mathrm{~g} / \mathrm{mi} \) and standard deviation \( 0.7 \mathrm{~g} / \mathrm{mi} \). A company has 80 of these cars in its fleet. Let \( \bar{y} \) represent the mean CO level for the company's fleet. a) What's the approximate model for the distribution of \( \bar{y} \) ? Explain. b) Estimate the probability that \( \bar{y} \) is between 2.1 and \( 2.3 \mathrm{~g} / \mathrm{mi} \). c) There is only a \( 10 \% \) chance that the fleet's mean CO level is greater than what value? a) Select the correct choice below and, if necessary, fill in the answer boxes within your choice. A Normal model with mean 2.022 and standard deviation .078 (Round to three decimal places as needed.) A Binomial model with \( \quad \) trials and a probability of success of (Round to three decimal places as needed.) C. A Poisson model with mean number of successes (Round to three decimal places as needed.) D. There is no model that fits this distribution. b) P(2.1< \( \bar{y}<2.3)=.159 \) (Round to three decimal places as needed.) c) P( \( \bar{y}>\square)=0.1 \) (Round to one decimal place as needed.)

Ask by Matthews Pollard. in the United States
Mar 08,2025

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a) The mean CO level \( \bar{y} \) for the company's fleet is approximately normally distributed with a mean of 2.022 g/mi and a standard deviation of 0.078 g/mi. b) The probability that \( \bar{y} \) is between 2.1 and 2.3 g/mi is approximately 0.159. c) There is a 10% chance that the fleet's mean CO level is greater than 2.1 g/mi.

Solution

a) The Central Limit Theorem applies. For a sample of \( n=80 \) cars, the mean emission \( \bar{y} \) is approximately normally distributed with \[ \text{Mean } \mu_{\bar{y}} = 2.022 \quad \text{and} \quad \text{Standard Error } \sigma_{\bar{y}} = \frac{0.7}{\sqrt{80}} \approx 0.078. \] Thus, the model is: \[ \bar{y} \sim N(2.022,\, (0.078)^2). \] b) To find \[ P(2.1 < \bar{y} < 2.3), \] we standardize the endpoints. For \( \bar{y} = 2.1 \): \[ z_1 = \frac{2.1 - 2.022}{0.078} = \frac{0.078}{0.078} = 1. \] For \( \bar{y} = 2.3 \): \[ z_2 = \frac{2.3 - 2.022}{0.078} = \frac{0.278}{0.078} \approx 3.564. \] Thus, \[ P(2.1 < \bar{y} < 2.3) = \Phi(3.564) - \Phi(1). \] Using standard normal tables, \(\Phi(1) \approx 0.8413\) and \(\Phi(3.564)\) is approximately 0.9998. Hence, \[ P(2.1 < \bar{y} < 2.3) \approx 0.9998 - 0.8413 = 0.1585 \approx 0.159. \] c) We need to find \( y_0 \) such that: \[ P(\bar{y} > y_0) = 0.1, \] which is equivalent to: \[ P(\bar{y} \le y_0) = 0.9. \] Let \( z_0 \) be the corresponding standard normal quantile, so \(\Phi(z_0)=0.9\). From tables, \( z_0 \approx 1.282 \). Now, convert back: \[ y_0 = 2.022 + 1.282 \times 0.078 \approx 2.022 + 0.100 = 2.122. \] Rounded to one decimal place, \( y_0 \approx 2.1 \). Choice for part (a): A Normal model with mean \(2.022\) and standard deviation \(0.078\). Summary of answers: b) \(P(2.1<\bar{y}<2.3) \approx 0.159\) c) \(P(\bar{y}>2.1)=0.1\) (with the threshold value rounded to one decimal place).

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The sampling distribution of the mean \( \bar{y} \) for a sample size of 80 can be approximated by a normal distribution due to the Central Limit Theorem. This theorem states that, regardless of the shape of the population distribution, the distribution of the sample means will approach a normal distribution as the sample size increases. Since the population mean is \( 2.022 \, \text{g/mi} \) and the standard deviation is \( 0.7 \, \text{g/mi} \), the standard deviation of the sampling distribution (standard error) is \( \frac{0.7}{\sqrt{80}} \approx 0.078 \). To estimate the probability that \( \bar{y} \) falls between \( 2.1 \) and \( 2.3 \, \text{g/mi} \), we need to standardize these values first using the z-score formula: \( z = \frac{\bar{y} - \mu}{\sigma/\sqrt{n}} \). For \( \bar{y} = 2.1 \), the z-score is approximately \( \frac{2.1 - 2.022}{0.078} \approx 1.0 \), and for \( \bar{y} = 2.3 \), the z-score is about \( \frac{2.3 - 2.022}{0.078} \approx 3.56 \). Using standard normal distribution tables or calculators, the probability between these z-scores is \( P(1.0 < z < 3.56) \approx 0.159 \) (rounded to three decimal places). To find the value for which there is a 10% chance that the fleet's mean CO level \( \bar{y} \) is greater than it, we identify the z-value corresponding to the 90th percentile (since 10% is in the upper tail). The z-score associated with the 90th percentile is approximately \( 1.28 \). Thus, we use the formula \( \bar{y} = \mu + z \cdot \sigma/\sqrt{n} \) to solve for \( \bar{y} \): \[ 2.022 + 1.28 \times 0.078 \approx 2.1 \, \text{g/mi} \] (rounded to one decimal place). So, to summarize: a) A Normal model with mean \( 2.022 \) and standard deviation \( 0.078 \). b) \( P(2.1 < \bar{y} < 2.3) = 0.159 \) (rounded to three decimal places). c) \( P(\bar{y} > 2.1) = 0.1 \) (rounded to one decimal place).

Related Questions

Question 12(Mulliple Choice Warth 5 points) \[ (04.06 \mathrm{HC}) \] A researcher wants to test the claim that the proportion of juniors who watch television regularly is greater than the proportion of seniors who watch television regularly She finds that 56 of 70 randomly selected juniors and 47 of 85 randomly selected seniors report watching television regularly. Construct \( 95 \% \) confidence intervals for each population proportion. Which of the statemente gives the correct outcome of the research or's tert of the dalim? The \( 95 \% \) confidence interval for juniors is (706, 894), and the \( 95 \% \) confidence interval for seniors is ( 447,659 ). Since the intervals overlap, there is not enough evidence to say the proportion of juniors who watch television regularly may be higher than that of seniors. The \( 95 \% \) confidence interval for juniors is (721, 879), and the \( 95 \% \) confidence interval for seniors is (464, 642). Since the interval for juniors is higher than the interval for seniors, there is evidence to say the proportion of juniors who watch television regularly may be higher than that of seniors. The \( 95 \% \) confidence interval for juniors is ( 706,894 ), and the \( 95 \% \) confidence interval for seniors is ( 447,659 ). Since the interval for juniors is higher than the interval for seniors, there is evidence to say the proportion of juniors who watch television regularly may be higher than that of seniors. The \( 95 \% \) confidence interval for juniors is ( \( 721, .879 \) ), and the \( 95 \% \) confidence interval for seniors is (464, 642). Since the intervals overlap, there is not enough evidence to say the proportion of juniors who watch television regularly may be higher than that of seniors.

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