Suppose that the probability that a particular computer chip fails after \( \mathrm{t}=\mathrm{a} \) hours of operation is \( 0.00004 \int_{\mathrm{a}}^{\infty} e^{-0.00004 \mathrm{t}} \mathrm{dt} \). a. Find the probability that the computer chip fails after \( 13,000 \mathrm{hr} \) of operation (that is, the chip lasts at least \( 13,000 \mathrm{hr} \) ). b. Of the chips that are still in operation after \( 13,000 \mathrm{hr} \), what fraction of these will operate for at least another \( 13,000 \mathrm{hr} \) ? c. Evaluate \( 0.00004 \int_{0}^{\infty} e^{-0.00004 \mathrm{t}} \mathrm{dt} \) and interpret its meaning.
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To solve the given problems, we proceed with the following calculations: ### a. Probability of lasting at least 13,000 hours We start with the probability that the computer chip fails after \( t = a \) hours, which is given by: \[ P(T > a) = 0.00004 \int_{a}^{\infty} e^{-0.00004 t} \, dt \] We can calculate this integral: \[ \int e^{-0.00004 t} \, dt = -\frac{1}{0.00004} e^{-0.00004 t} \] Evaluating the limits from \( a = 13000 \) to \( \infty \): \[ = -\frac{1}{0.00004} \left[ 0 - e^{-0.00004 \cdot 13000} \right] = \frac{1}{0.00004} e^{-0.00004 \cdot 13000} \] Now we compute: - \( e^{-0.00004 \cdot 13000} = e^{-0.52} \approx 0.595 \) - \( \frac{1}{0.00004} = 25000 \) Thus: \[ P(T > 13000) \approx 0.00004 \cdot 25000 \cdot 0.595 = 0.0004 \cdot 0.595 \approx 0.238 \] ### b. Fraction of chips lasting another 13,000 hours To find the fraction of chips that will last at least another 13,000 hours given they have already lasted 13,000 hours, we use the memoryless property of the exponential distribution: \[ P(T > 26000 | T > 13000) = P(T > 13000) \] Since the distribution is exponential: \[ P(T > 13000) = e^{-0.00004 \cdot 13000} \approx 0.595 \] So, the fraction of chips still functioning after 13,000 hours and lasting at least another 13,000 hours is about 0.595 or 59.5%. ### c. Evaluate \( 0.00004 \int_{0}^{\infty} e^{-0.00004 t} \, dt \) We first evaluate the integral: \[ \int e^{-0.00004 t} \, dt = -\frac{1}{0.00004} e^{-0.00004 t} \] Evaluating from \( 0 \) to \( \infty \): \[ = -\frac{1}{0.00004} \left[ 0 - 1 \right] = \frac{1}{0.00004} = 25000 \] Now, we find: \[ 0.00004 \cdot 25000 = 1 \] This result signifies that the total probability of the chip failing is 1, meaning there is a certainty that the chip will eventually fail, as expected from a probability distribution defined over its operational time.