The Central Limit Theorem Question 6, 6.4.9-T HW Score: \( 41.67 \%, 5 \) of 12 points Part 2 of 3 Points: of 1 Save An elevator has a placard stating that the maximum capacity is \( 4000 \mathrm{lb}-27 \) passengers. So, 27 adult male passengers can have a mean weight of up to \( 4000 / 27=148 \) pounds. Assume that weights of males are normally distributed with a mean of 182 lb and a standard deviation of 34 lb . a. Find the probability that 1 randomly selected adult male has a weight greater than 148 lb , b. Find the probability that a sample of 27 randomly selected adult males has a mean weight greater than 148 lb . c. What do you conclude about the safety of this elevator? a. The probability that 1 randomly selected adult male has a weight greater than 148 lb is \( \square \) 0.8413 (Round to four decimal places as needed.) b. The probability that a sample of 27 randomly selected adult males has a mean weight greater than 148 lb is \( \square \) (Round to four decimal places as needed.)
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To find the probability that one randomly selected adult male weighs more than 148 lb, you would use the Z-score formula: \[ Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \] In this case, \(\mu = 182\) lb and \(\sigma = 34\) lb. Plugging in the values gives you \(Z = \frac{148 - 182}{34} = -1\). From the Z-table, the probability of a Z-score being less than -1 is approximately 0.1587. Therefore, the probability of an adult male weighing more than 148 lb is \(1 - 0.1587 = 0.8413\). For part b, when considering a sample of 27 adults, the sampling distribution's standard deviation (standard error) is calculated as: \[ SE = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{34}{\sqrt{27}} \approx 6.56 \] Now, you can find the Z-score for the sample mean using \(Z = \frac{X - \mu}{SE}\): \[ Z = \frac{148 - 182}{6.56} \approx -5.19 \] Since this Z-score is so low, the probability of getting a mean weight greater than 148 lb is extremely high. Referring to standard normal distribution tables, you would find the probability is effectively 1, or rounded as \(0.9999\) when calculating more specific probabilities. Ultimately, if almost all individuals exceed 148 lb, then the elevator's stated capacity might be overly optimistic, suggesting it may be unsafe if 27 average adult males were to enter at the maximum capacity.