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1 Multiple Answer 2 points What does it mean to be \( 95 \% \) confident when referencing confidence intervals? Select all that apply. The \( 95 \% \) is a success rate of the process of computing the confidence interval that contain the parameter. The \( 95 \% \) refers to the percentage of ALL possible samples resulting in a confidence interval that contains the parameter. It is a range of values between which all values of the variable will lie. This is the probability that the parameter lies in the confidence interval. Then

Ask by Osborne Montgomery. in the United States
Mar 19,2025

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Being \( 95\% \) confident means that: - \( 95\% \) of the confidence intervals calculated from many samples will contain the true parameter. - \( 95\% \) refers to the percentage of all possible samples where the confidence interval includes the parameter. These statements are correct.

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To understand what it means to be \( 95\% \) confident when referencing confidence intervals, let's analyze each statement: 1. **The \( 95\% \) is a success rate of the process of computing the confidence interval that contains the parameter.** - This statement is true. The \( 95\% \) confidence level indicates that if we were to take many samples and compute a confidence interval from each sample, approximately \( 95\% \) of those intervals would contain the true population parameter. 2. **The \( 95\% \) refers to the percentage of ALL possible samples resulting in a confidence interval that contains the parameter.** - This statement is also true. It emphasizes that out of all possible samples, \( 95\% \) of the confidence intervals constructed from those samples would include the true parameter. 3. **It is a range of values between which all values of the variable will lie.** - This statement is false. A confidence interval does not imply that all values of the variable will lie within that range. Instead, it suggests that we are \( 95\% \) confident that the true parameter lies within that range. 4. **This is the probability that the parameter lies in the confidence interval.** - This statement is misleading. Once a confidence interval is calculated from a specific sample, the parameter either lies within that interval or it does not. The \( 95\% \) confidence level does not refer to the probability of the parameter lying in that specific interval; rather, it refers to the long-term success rate of the method used to construct the interval. Based on this analysis, the correct answers are: - The \( 95\% \) is a success rate of the process of computing the confidence interval that contains the parameter. - The \( 95\% \) refers to the percentage of ALL possible samples resulting in a confidence interval that contains the parameter.

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When we say we are \( 95\% \) confident in a confidence interval, it means that if we were to repeat the sampling process many times and construct a confidence interval from each sample, approximately \( 95\% \) of those intervals would contain the true population parameter. It emphasizes the reliability of the method rather than a statement about a single statistical interval. Additionally, it's crucial to know that the \( 95\% \) confidence level does not mean that there is a \( 95\% \) probability that the parameter is within the specific interval calculated from a single sample. Rather, the parameter is either in that interval or it isn't; the \( 95\% \) reflects the long-term behavior of the process, not the probability associated with one particular interval.

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