Pregunta
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A population of values has a normal distribution with \( \mu=237.1 \) and \( \sigma=6.9 \). You intend to draw a random sample of size \( n=206 \). Find the probability that a sample of size \( n=206 \) is randomly selected with a mean between 236.7 and 236.8 . \( P(236.7
Ask by Munoz Moran. in the United States
Mar 16,2025

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The probability that a sample mean is between 236.7 and 236.8 is approximately 0.0626.

Solución

1. The population distribution is normal with mean \(\mu = 237.1\) and standard deviation \(\sigma = 6.9\). For a sample of size \(n = 206\), the sampling distribution of the sample mean has: \[ \text{Mean} = \mu = 237.1 \quad \text{and} \quad \text{Standard Error} = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{6.9}{\sqrt{206}}. \] 2. Compute the standard error: \[ \sqrt{206} \approx 14.3527, \] so \[ \text{Standard Error} \approx \frac{6.9}{14.3527} \approx 0.4808. \] 3. We wish to find: \[ P(236.7 < M < 236.8). \] We convert these to \(z\)-scores using: \[ z = \frac{M - \mu}{\text{Standard Error}}. \] 4. For the lower bound \(M = 236.7\): \[ z_1 = \frac{236.7 - 237.1}{0.4808} = \frac{-0.4}{0.4808} \approx -0.8317. \] 5. For the upper bound \(M = 236.8\): \[ z_2 = \frac{236.8 - 237.1}{0.4808} = \frac{-0.3}{0.4808} \approx -0.6238. \] 6. The probability that the sample mean lies between 236.7 and 236.8 is: \[ P(236.7

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Bonus Knowledge

To find the probability that a sample mean \( M \) falls between 236.7 and 236.8, we can use the Central Limit Theorem. According to the theorem, the distribution of the sample mean will be normally distributed with mean \( \mu \) equal to the population mean and a standard deviation \( \sigma_M \) equal to the population standard deviation divided by the square root of the sample size \( n \). First, we calculate the standard deviation of the sample mean: \[ \sigma_M = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{6.9}{\sqrt{206}} \approx \frac{6.9}{14.3578} \approx 0.4802 \] Next, we calculate the \( z \)-scores for the values 236.7 and 236.8: \[ z_1 = \frac{236.7 - \mu}{\sigma_M} = \frac{236.7 - 237.1}{0.4802} \approx \frac{-0.4}{0.4802} \approx -0.8330 \] \[ z_2 = \frac{236.8 - \mu}{\sigma_M} = \frac{236.8 - 237.1}{0.4802} \approx \frac{-0.3}{0.4802} \approx -0.6244 \] Now, we can use the standard normal distribution table (or a calculator) to find the probabilities corresponding to these \( z \)-scores. Using the standard normal distribution table or a calculator: 1. For \( z_1 = -0.8330 \): \( P(Z < -0.8330) \approx 0.2023 \) 2. For \( z_2 = -0.6244 \): \( P(Z < -0.6244) \approx 0.2659 \) Now we subtract the two probabilities to get the probability that the sample mean falls between 236.7 and 236.8: \[ P(236.7 < M < 236.8) = P(Z < -0.6244) - P(Z < -0.8330) \approx 0.2659 - 0.2023 \approx 0.0636 \] Thus, the probability that the sample mean \( M \) is between 236.7 and 236.8 is: \[ P(236.7 < M < 236.8) \approx 0.0636 \] Final answer: \( P(236.7

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