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Carbon monoxide (CO) emissions for a certain kind of car vary with mean \( 3.786 \mathrm{~g} / \mathrm{mi} \) and standard deviation \( 0.8 \mathrm{~g} / \mathrm{mi} \). A company has 80 of these cars in its fleet. Let \( \overline{\mathrm{y}} \) represent the mean CO level for the company's fleet. a) What's the approximate model for the distribution of \( \overline{\mathrm{y}} \) ? Explain. b) Estimate the probability that \( \overline{\mathrm{y}} \) is between 3.9 and \( 4 \mathrm{~g} / \mathrm{mi} \). c) There is only a \( 10 \% \) chance that the fleet's mean CO level is greater than what value? A. A Poisson model with \( \square \) mean number of successes (Round to three decimal places as needed.) B. A Normal model with mean \( \square \) and standard deviation (Round to three decimal places as needed.) C. A Binomial model with \( \square \) trials and a probability of success of \( \square \) (Round to three decimal places as needed.) D. There is no model that fits this distribution. b) \( P(3.9<\bar{y}<4)=\square \) (Round to three decimal places as needed.) c) \( P(\bar{y}> \) A \( \square)=0.1 \) (Round to one decimal place as needed.)

Ask by Henry Elliott. in the United States
Mar 08,2025

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**a)** The distribution of \( \overline{\mathrm{y}} \) is approximately normal with a mean of \(3.786\) and a standard deviation of \(0.089\). **b)** The probability that \( \overline{\mathrm{y}} \) is between \(3.9\) and \(4\) is approximately \(0.093\). **c)** There is a \(10\%\) chance that the fleet's mean CO level is greater than \(3.9\,\mathrm{g/mi}\).

Solución

**a)** Since the individual car’s CO emissions are normally distributed with mean \[ \mu = 3.786\,\mathrm{g/mi} \] and standard deviation \[ \sigma = 0.8\,\mathrm{g/mi}, \] by the Central Limit Theorem the sample mean for a fleet of \[ n=80 \] cars is approximately normally distributed with mean \[ \mu_{\overline{y}} = 3.786\,\mathrm{g/mi} \] and standard error \[ \sigma_{\overline{y}} = \frac{0.8}{\sqrt{80}} \approx 0.089\,\mathrm{g/mi}. \] Thus, the appropriate model is: **B. A Normal model with mean \(3.786\) and standard deviation \(0.089\).** --- **b)** We wish to estimate \[ P(3.9 < \overline{y} < 4). \] 1. **Standardize the endpoints:** For \(\overline{y} = 3.9\): \[ z_1 = \frac{3.9 - 3.786}{0.089} \approx \frac{0.114}{0.089} \approx 1.274. \] For \(\overline{y} = 4\): \[ z_2 = \frac{4 - 3.786}{0.089} \approx \frac{0.214}{0.089} \approx 2.392. \] 2. **Find the probabilities using the standard normal distribution:** Let \(\Phi(z)\) denote the cumulative distribution function (CDF) for the standard normal. \[ P(3.9 < \overline{y} < 4) = \Phi(2.392) - \Phi(1.274). \] Using standard normal tables or a calculator: \[ \Phi(2.392) \approx 0.9916 \quad \text{and} \quad \Phi(1.274) \approx 0.899. \] 3. **Compute:** \[ P(3.9 < \overline{y} < 4) \approx 0.9916 - 0.899 = 0.0926. \] Rounded to three decimal places, \[ P(3.9 < \overline{y} < 4) \approx 0.093. \] --- **c)** We need to find the value \(c\) such that \[ P(\overline{y} > c) = 0.1. \] This is equivalent to finding the 90th percentile of the sampling distribution (since \(P(\overline{y} \le c) = 0.9\)). 1. **Find the corresponding \(z\)-value:** For a standard normal variable, \[ \Phi(z) = 0.9 \quad \Rightarrow \quad z \approx 1.282. \] 2. **Translate the \(z\)-score to the original variable:** \[ c = \mu_{\overline{y}} + z\,\sigma_{\overline{y}} \approx 3.786 + 1.282 \times 0.089. \] Calculating the product: \[ 1.282 \times 0.089 \approx 0.114. \] Thus, \[ c \approx 3.786 + 0.114 = 3.900\,\mathrm{g/mi}. \] Rounded to one decimal place, \[ c \approx 3.9\,\mathrm{g/mi}. \] --- **Summary of Answers:** A. **B.** A Normal model with mean \(3.786\) and standard deviation \(0.089\). B. \[ P(3.9<\overline{y}<4) \approx 0.093. \] C. \(P(\overline{y}>3.9)=0.1\); that is, there is only a 10% chance that the fleet’s mean CO level exceeds approximately \(3.9\,\mathrm{g/mi}\).

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To tackle the problem, let’s break it down step by step. ### a) Approximate Model for the Distribution of \( \overline{y} \) The mean CO level \( \overline{y} \) for the company's fleet can be approximated using the Central Limit Theorem (CLT), which states that with a sufficiently large sample size (in this case, 80 cars), the sampling distribution of the sample mean will be approximately normally distributed, regardless of the shape of the population distribution. Therefore, since we have a sample size of 80, the distribution of \( \overline{y} \) is approximately a normal distribution with a mean of \( 3.786 \mathrm{~g} / \mathrm{mi} \) and a standard deviation calculated as the population standard deviation divided by the square root of the sample size: \[ \sigma_{\overline{y}} = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{0.8}{\sqrt{80}} \approx 0.0894 \mathrm{~g} / \mathrm{mi}. \] ### b) Estimate the Probability that \( \overline{y} \) is Between 3.9 and 4 g/mi To find the probability \( P(3.9 < \overline{y} < 4) \), we can standardize the values using the z-score formula: \[ z = \frac{\overline{y} - \mu}{\sigma_{\overline{y}}}. \] Calculating the z-scores: 1. For \( \overline{y} = 3.9 \): \[ z_1 = \frac{3.9 - 3.786}{0.0894} \approx 1.273. \] 2. For \( \overline{y} = 4 \): \[ z_2 = \frac{4 - 3.786}{0.0894} \approx 2.379. \] Next, we find the area under the curve for these z-scores using the standard normal distribution table. - The area to the left of \( z_1 \approx 1.273 \) is about \( 0.898 \). - The area to the left of \( z_2 \approx 2.379 \) is about \( 0.991 \). The probability \( P(3.9 < \overline{y} < 4) \) is then: \[ P(3.9 < \overline{y} < 4) = P(Z < 2.379) - P(Z < 1.273) = 0.991 - 0.898 \approx 0.093. \] ### c) Value Where There is a 10% Chance the Fleet's Mean CO Level is Greater Than This Value To find the value such that there is a \( 10\% \) chance that \( \overline{y} \) is greater than it, we need to find the z-score that corresponds to the \( 90\% \) percentile (100% - 10%). The z-score for the 90th percentile is approximately \( 1.2816 \). Using the z-score formula to solve for \( \overline{y} \): \[ \overline{y} = \mu + z \cdot \sigma_{\overline{y}}, \] where: - \( \mu = 3.786 \) - \( z \approx 1.2816 \) - \( \sigma_{\overline{y}} \approx 0.0894 \) Calculating it, we get: \[ \overline{y} = 3.786 + (1.2816 \cdot 0.0894) \approx 3.868. \] Thus, there is only a 10% chance that the fleet's mean CO level is greater than approximately \( 3.9 \mathrm{~g}/\mathrm{mi} \) when rounded to one decimal place. ### Summary of Answers a) A Normal model with mean \( 3.786 \) and standard deviation \( 0.089 \). b) \( P(3.9 < \bar{y} < 4) \approx 0.093 \). c) \( P(\bar{y} > 3.868) = 0.1 \)

preguntas relacionadas

Question 12(Mulliple Choice Warth 5 points) \[ (04.06 \mathrm{HC}) \] A researcher wants to test the claim that the proportion of juniors who watch television regularly is greater than the proportion of seniors who watch television regularly She finds that 56 of 70 randomly selected juniors and 47 of 85 randomly selected seniors report watching television regularly. Construct \( 95 \% \) confidence intervals for each population proportion. Which of the statemente gives the correct outcome of the research or's tert of the dalim? The \( 95 \% \) confidence interval for juniors is (706, 894), and the \( 95 \% \) confidence interval for seniors is ( 447,659 ). Since the intervals overlap, there is not enough evidence to say the proportion of juniors who watch television regularly may be higher than that of seniors. The \( 95 \% \) confidence interval for juniors is (721, 879), and the \( 95 \% \) confidence interval for seniors is (464, 642). Since the interval for juniors is higher than the interval for seniors, there is evidence to say the proportion of juniors who watch television regularly may be higher than that of seniors. The \( 95 \% \) confidence interval for juniors is ( 706,894 ), and the \( 95 \% \) confidence interval for seniors is ( 447,659 ). Since the interval for juniors is higher than the interval for seniors, there is evidence to say the proportion of juniors who watch television regularly may be higher than that of seniors. The \( 95 \% \) confidence interval for juniors is ( \( 721, .879 \) ), and the \( 95 \% \) confidence interval for seniors is (464, 642). Since the intervals overlap, there is not enough evidence to say the proportion of juniors who watch television regularly may be higher than that of seniors.

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