Pregunta
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A restaurant server believes the distribution of their tips has a model that is slightly skewed to the left, with a mean of \( \$ 10.90 \) and a standard deviation of \( \$ 4.50 \). They usually wait on about 30 parties over a weekend of work. a) Estimate the probability that they will earn at least \( \$ 350 \) in tips. b) How much do they earn on the best \( 5 \% \) of such weekends? a) P(tips from 30 parties \( >\$ 350)=\square \) (Round to four decimal places as needed.) b) The total amount that they earn on the best \( 5 \% \) of such weekends is at least \( \$ \square \) (Round to two decimal places as needed.)

Ask by Rowe Gonzalez. in the United States
Mar 09,2025

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a) The probability of earning at least \$350 in tips is approximately 0.1759. b) They earn at least \$367.54 on the best 5% of weekends.

Solución

We let the total tips over \( n = 30 \) parties be \( X \). Although the individual tip amounts are slightly skewed, we use the Central Limit Theorem to approximate the distribution of \( X \). The mean for one party is \[ \mu = \$10.90, \] and the standard deviation is \[ \sigma = \$4.50. \] Thus, the mean and standard deviation of the total tips are \[ \mu_X = 30 \times 10.90 = 327, \] \[ \sigma_X = 4.50\sqrt{30} \approx 4.50 \times 5.4772 \approx 24.6475. \] ### Part (a) We wish to determine \[ P(X \ge 350). \] Using the standard normal variable: \[ z = \frac{350 - \mu_X}{\sigma_X} = \frac{350 - 327}{24.6475} \approx \frac{23}{24.6475} \approx 0.933. \] Then, \[ P(X \ge 350) = 1 - \Phi(0.933). \] Looking up (or using a calculator for) \(\Phi(0.933)\), we get approximately \[ \Phi(0.933) \approx 0.8241. \] Thus, \[ P(X \ge 350) \approx 1 - 0.8241 = 0.1759. \] Rounded to four decimal places, the probability is \[ \boxed{0.1759}. \] ### Part (b) We need to find the total tip amount \( y \) such that the top \( 5\% \) of weekends earn at least \( y \). That means \[ P(X \ge y) = 0.05, \] or equivalently, \[ P(X < y) = 0.95. \] The corresponding \( z \)-score for the \( 95\%\) percentile is approximately \[ z_{0.95} \approx 1.645. \] Thus, \[ y = \mu_X + z_{0.95}\sigma_X = 327 + 1.645(24.6475). \] Calculating, \[ 1.645 \times 24.6475 \approx 40.54, \] \[ y \approx 327 + 40.54 \approx 367.54. \] Rounded to two decimal places, the threshold is \[ \boxed{\$367.54}. \]

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Beyond the Answer

To tackle this problem, we need to first find out how the tips from 30 parties can be modeled. Assuming tips are approximately normally distributed due to the Central Limit Theorem (CLT), we can calculate the mean and standard deviation of the total tips over the 30 parties. a) The mean total tips from 30 parties can be: \[ \mu = 30 \times 10.90 = 327 \] The standard deviation for the total tips can be calculated as: \[ \sigma = \sqrt{30} \times 4.50 \approx 24.5 \] Next, we need to find \( P(X > 350) \), where \( X \) is the total tips from 30 parties. We can standardize this using the z-score formula: \[ z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} = \frac{350 - 327}{24.5} \approx 0.94 \] Now, using z-tables or calculators, we find \( P(Z > 0.94) \). This gives us: \[ P(Z > 0.94) = 1 - P(Z < 0.94) \approx 1 - 0.8264 = 0.1736 \] Thus, the probability that the server will earn at least $350 in tips is: \[ P(tips from 30 parties >\$ 350) = 0.1736 \] b) To find how much they earn on the best 5% of weekends, we need to determine the 95th percentile (since we are looking for the top 5% which equates to 100% - 5% = 95%) for a normal distribution. From z-tables, the z-score that corresponds to the 95th percentile is approximately 1.645. Now we convert back to the original scale using the following formula: \[ X = \mu + z\sigma = 327 + (1.645 \times 24.5) \approx 327 + 40.2 \approx 367.2 \] Thus, the total amount that they earn on the best 5% of weekends is at least: \[ \$367.20 \] In conclusion: a) \( P(tips from 30 parties >\$ 350) = 0.1736 \) b) The total amount that they earn on the best 5% of such weekends is at least \( \$367.20 \)

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