4. The population of the city of Fredericksburg, Virginia, was approximately 19,360 in 2000 and has been continuously growing at a rate of \( 2.9 \% \) each year. a. Use the formula for population growth to write a function to model this growth. b. Use your function model to predict the population of Fredericksburg in 2020 . c. What value does your function model give for the population of Fredericksburg in the year 1980 ? 5. Use technology to estimate the number of years it would take Fredericksburg to grow to 40,000 people, assuming that the population trend continues.
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To model the population growth, we can use the formula \( P(t) = P_0(1 + r)^t \), where \( P_0 \) is the initial population, \( r \) is the growth rate (in decimal), and \( t \) is the number of years since the starting point. Plugging in the values for Fredericksburg, the function becomes \( P(t) = 19360(1 + 0.029)^t \). To predict the population in 2020, we calculate \( t \) as the number of years since 2000, which is 20 years. Substituting in the values, we find \( P(20) = 19360(1.029)^{20} \), resulting in a population of approximately 26,144 in 2020. Now, for the year 1980, we note that this is 20 years before 2000, so \( t = -20 \). Calculating \( P(-20) = 19360(1.029)^{-20} \) yields around 14,607 in 1980. For estimating the time to reach 40,000 people, we set up the equation \( 40000 = 19360(1.029)^t \) and solve for \( t \). Using logarithms or technology can quickly yield an estimate of about 25 years, placing the target year around 2025 based on the continuous growth trend.
