Pregunta
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Let's lopk at a company that is currently notpaying dividends. You predict that in five years the company will pay a dividend for the first time. The dividend will be \( \$ 0.50 \) per share. You expect the dividend to grow at an \( 8 \% \) rate per year indefinitely at that time. The required return on companies like this one is \( 15 \% \). What is the price of the stock today?

Ask by Ruiz Hampton. in the United States
Mar 10,2025

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The stock is priced at approximately \$4.09 today.

Solución

We are given that no dividend is paid until year 5. At the end of year 5, the dividend will be \[ D_5 = \$0.50 \] and thereafter the dividend will grow at a constant rate of \[ g = 8\% = 0.08. \] The required return is \[ r = 15\% = 0.15. \] At year 4, the stock's value will be the present value (at that time) of all future dividends starting at year 5. Using the Gordon Growth Model, the value at the end of year 4 is given by \[ P_4 = \frac{D_5}{r - g} = \frac{0.50}{0.15 - 0.08} = \frac{0.50}{0.07} \approx 7.14. \] Now, to find the price of the stock today (at time 0), we need to discount the value at year 4 back to the present by four years. Thus, \[ P_0 = \frac{P_4}{(1 + r)^4} = \frac{7.14}{(1.15)^4}. \] Calculating the denominator, \[ (1.15)^4 \approx 1.749. \] Therefore, \[ P_0 \approx \frac{7.14}{1.749} \approx 4.09. \] Thus, the price of the stock today is approximately \(\$4.09\).

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Bonus Knowledge

To calculate the price of the stock today, we can use the Gordon Growth Model (also known as the Dividend Discount Model). First, we need to find the expected dividend in year five, which is \( \$0.50 \). As the dividend is expected to grow at an \( 8 \% \) rate indefinitely, we can find the future dividends and then find their present value. First, calculate the expected dividends for years six and beyond: - Year 6: \( D_6 = 0.50 \times (1 + 0.08) = \$0.54 \) - Year 7: \( D_7 = 0.54 \times (1 + 0.08) = \$0.5832 \) And so on. The formula for the dividend in year \( n \) is \( D_n = D_{n-1} \times (1 + g) \). We can calculate the stock price at the end of year five using \( P_5 \): \[ P_5 = \frac{D_6}{r - g} = \frac{\$0.54}{0.15 - 0.08} = \frac{\$0.54}{0.07} = \$7.7143 \] Now, we need to find today’s price \( P_0 \) by discounting \( P_5 \) back to present value: \[ P_0 = \frac{P_5}{(1 + r)^5} = \frac{7.7143}{(1 + 0.15)^5} = \frac{7.7143}{2.011357} \approx \$3.83 \] So, the price of the stock today is approximately **\$3.83**.

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