Pregunta
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Annual Precipitation The average annual precipitations (in inches) of a
random sample of 30 years in San Francisco, California have a sample
standard deviation of 8.18 inches. Use a level of confidence. (Source:
Golden Gate Weather Services)

Ask by Jimenez Murphy. in the United States
Mar 20,2025

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The 98% confidence interval for the average annual precipitation in San Francisco is inches.

Solución

To construct a confidence interval for the average annual precipitation based on the given data, we will follow these steps:
  1. Identify the known values:
    • Sample size ( ): 30 years
    • Sample standard deviation ( ): 8.18 inches
    • Confidence level: 98%
  2. Determine the critical value:
    Since the sample size is less than 30, we will use the t-distribution. We need to find the critical t-value for a 98% confidence level with degrees of freedom.
  3. Calculate the standard error (SE):
    The standard error is calculated using the formula:
  4. Calculate the margin of error (ME):
    The margin of error is calculated using the formula:
    where is the critical t-value.
  5. Construct the confidence interval:
    The confidence interval is given by:
    where is the sample mean. Since the sample mean is not provided, we will express the confidence interval in terms of .
Now, let’s calculate the standard error and find the critical t-value for 29 degrees of freedom.
First, we will calculate the standard error.
Calculate the value by following steps:
  • step0: Calculate:
  • step1: Divide the terms:
  • step2: Multiply by the Conjugate:
  • step3: Multiply the numbers:

    The standard error (SE) is approximately inches.
Next, we need to find the critical t-value for a 98% confidence level with 29 degrees of freedom. Let’s calculate that.
Evaluate by following steps:
  • step0: Solution:

    It seems there was an issue retrieving the critical t-value directly. However, for a 98% confidence level and 29 degrees of freedom, the critical t-value is approximately .
Now, we can calculate the margin of error (ME) using the standard error and the critical t-value:
Substituting the values we have:
Let’s calculate the margin of error.
Calculate the value by following steps:
  • step0: Calculate:
  • step1: Multiply the numbers:

    The margin of error (ME) is approximately inches.
Now, we can construct the confidence interval. The confidence interval is given by:
Since we do not have the sample mean ( ), we can express the confidence interval as:
Thus, the confidence interval for the average annual precipitation in San Francisco, California, at a 98% confidence level is:
If you have the sample mean, you can substitute it into this expression to get the specific confidence interval.

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Bonus Knowledge

To conduct a confidence interval for the average annual precipitation, we can use the sample mean and the t-distribution, given that the sample size is small (n < 30). The formula for the confidence interval is:
where is the sample mean, is the standard deviation, is the sample size, and is the t-value for 29 degrees of freedom at a 98% confidence level.
First, you need to determine the sample mean from your data to complete the calculation. However, with a sample standard deviation of inches and a sample size of , you can find the t-value from t-distribution tables or calculators, which is approximately 2.462 for 29 degrees of freedom at a 98% confidence level.
Using this t-value, you can calculate the margin of error and subsequently the confidence interval once the sample mean is known.
If you have the mean precipitation data, simply plug it into the formula! Remember to be careful when handling the sample mean calculations to avoid common errors such as miscalculating the average or misapplying the t-distribution.

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