Pregunta
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In a survey of U.S. adults with a sample size of 2062,311 said Franklin Roosevelt was the best president since World War II. Two U.S. adults are selected at random from this sample without replacement. Complete parts (a) through (d). (a) Find the probability that both adults say Franklin Roosevelt was the best president since World War II. The probability that both adults say Franklin Roosevelt was the best president since World War II is (Round to three decimal places as needed.)

Ask by George Gordon. in the United States
Feb 25,2025

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The probability that both adults selected at random say Franklin Roosevelt was the best president since World War II is approximately 0.023.

Solución

Given that there are 2062 adults in the sample and 311 of them said Franklin Roosevelt was the best president since World War II, we can calculate the probability that both adults selected at random from this sample say Franklin Roosevelt was the best president since World War II. Let's denote: - \( N \) as the total number of adults in the sample (2062), - \( n \) as the number of adults who said Franklin Roosevelt was the best president since World War II (311), - \( P \) as the probability that an adult selected at random from the sample says Franklin Roosevelt was the best president since World War II. The probability that the first adult selected says Franklin Roosevelt was the best president since World War II is \( P = \frac{n}{N} \). The probability that the second adult selected says Franklin Roosevelt was the best president since World War II, given that the first adult said so, is \( P' = \frac{n-1}{N-1} \). Therefore, the probability that both adults say Franklin Roosevelt was the best president since World War II is the product of these two probabilities: \[ P_{\text{both}} = P \times P' = \frac{n}{N} \times \frac{n-1}{N-1} \] Now, we can calculate this probability. Calculate the value by following steps: - step0: Calculate: \(\frac{\frac{311}{2062}\left(311-1\right)}{\left(2062-1\right)}\) - step1: Remove the parentheses: \(\frac{\frac{311}{2062}\left(311-1\right)}{2062-1}\) - step2: Subtract the numbers: \(\frac{\frac{311}{2062}\times 310}{2062-1}\) - step3: Multiply the numbers: \(\frac{\frac{48205}{1031}}{2062-1}\) - step4: Subtract the numbers: \(\frac{\frac{48205}{1031}}{2061}\) - step5: Multiply by the reciprocal: \(\frac{48205}{1031}\times \frac{1}{2061}\) - step6: Multiply the fractions: \(\frac{48205}{1031\times 2061}\) - step7: Multiply: \(\frac{48205}{2124891}\) The probability that both adults selected at random from the sample say Franklin Roosevelt was the best president since World War II is approximately 0.0227 (rounded to three decimal places).

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Bonus Knowledge

To find the probability that both selected adults say Franklin Roosevelt was the best president since World War II, you can follow these steps: 1. **Calculate the probability for the first adult:** There are 311 respondents who said Franklin Roosevelt was the best president out of 2062 total respondents. \[ P(\text{first adult}) = \frac{311}{2062} \] 2. **Calculate the probability for the second adult (without replacement):** After selecting the first adult, there are now 311 - 1 = 310 adults who said Franklin Roosevelt was the best president out of a total of 2062 - 1 = 2061 respondents. \[ P(\text{second adult}) = \frac{310}{2061} \] 3. **Multiply these probabilities:** \[ P(\text{both adults}) = P(\text{first adult}) \times P(\text{second adult}) = \left(\frac{311}{2062}\right) \times \left(\frac{310}{2061}\right) \] Now performing the multiplication: \[ P(\text{both adults}) = \frac{311 \times 310}{2062 \times 2061} = \frac{96410}{4250522} \approx 0.0227 \] So, rounding to three decimal places, the probability that both adults say Franklin Roosevelt was the best president since World War II is **0.023**.

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