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Carbon monoxide (CO) emissions for a certain kind of car vary with mean \( 2.022 \mathrm{~g} / \mathrm{mi} \) and standard deviation \( 0.7 \mathrm{~g} / \mathrm{mi} \). A company has 80 of these cars in its fleet. Let \( \bar{y} \) represent the mean CO level for the company's fleet. a) What's the approximate model for the distribution of \( \overline{\mathrm{y}} \) ? Explain. b) Estimate the probability that \( \overline{\mathrm{y}} \) is between 2.1 and \( 2.3 \mathrm{~g} / \mathrm{mi} \). c) There is only a \( 10 \% \) chance that the fleet's mean CO level is greater than what value? a) Select the correct choice below and, if necessary, fill in the answer boxes within your choice. A. A Normal model with mean \( \square \) and standard deviation (Round to three decimal places as needed.) B. A Binomial model with \( \square \) trials and a probability of success of (Round to three decimal places as needed.) C. A Poisson model with \( \square \) mean number of successes (Round to three decimal places as needed.) D. There is no model that fits this distribution.

Ask by Ortega Donnelly. in the United States
Mar 08,2025

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**a)** The distribution of \(\bar{y}\) is approximately normal with a mean of \(2.022\) and a standard deviation of approximately \(0.078\). **b)** The probability that \(\bar{y}\) is between \(2.1\) and \(2.3 \, \mathrm{g/mi}\) is approximately \(15.85\%\). **c)** There is only a \(10\%\) chance that the fleet's mean CO level exceeds approximately \(2.122 \, \mathrm{g/mi}\).

Solución

**a)** Since the individual car CO emissions have mean \(\mu = 2.022\) and standard deviation \(\sigma = 0.7\), by the Central Limit Theorem the sampling distribution of the fleet mean \(\bar{y}\) (with \(n=80\) cars) is approximately normal. Its mean is \[ \mu_{\bar{y}} = 2.022 \] and its standard deviation is \[ \sigma_{\bar{y}} = \frac{0.7}{\sqrt{80}}. \] Thus, the appropriate model is **A. A Normal model with mean \(2.022\) and standard deviation \(\frac{0.7}{\sqrt{80}}\).** --- **b)** We want to estimate \[ P(2.1 \leq \bar{y} \leq 2.3). \] 1. First, compute the standard deviation of \(\bar{y}\): \[ \sigma_{\bar{y}} = \frac{0.7}{\sqrt{80}} \approx \frac{0.7}{8.944} \approx 0.0783. \] 2. Next, convert the endpoints to \(z\)-scores: - For \(\bar{y}=2.1\): \[ z = \frac{2.1 - 2.022}{0.0783} \approx \frac{0.078}{0.0783} \approx 1.0. \] - For \(\bar{y}=2.3\): \[ z = \frac{2.3 - 2.022}{0.0783} \approx \frac{0.278}{0.0783} \approx 3.55. \] 3. Using the standard normal distribution: \[ P(2.1 \leq \bar{y} \leq 2.3) \approx P(1.0 \leq Z \leq 3.55). \] From standard normal tables, \[ P(Z \leq 1.0) \approx 0.8413 \quad \text{and} \quad P(Z \leq 3.55) \approx 0.9998. \] Thus, \[ P(1.0 \leq Z \leq 3.55) \approx 0.9998 - 0.8413 = 0.1585. \] So, the probability is approximately \(0.1585\) (or 15.85%). --- **c)** We need to find the value \(t\) such that there is only a 10% chance the fleet mean exceeds \(t\); that is: \[ P(\bar{y} > t) = 0.10. \] This is equivalent to: \[ P(\bar{y} \leq t) = 0.90. \] 1. Find the corresponding \(z\)-score for \(0.90\) in the standard normal distribution. The \(90^{\text{th}}\) percentile is approximately: \[ z_{0.90} \approx 1.282. \] 2. Convert this \(z\)-score back to \(t\): \[ t = \mu_{\bar{y}} + z_{0.90} \cdot \sigma_{\bar{y}}. \] Substituting the values: \[ t \approx 2.022 + 1.282 \times 0.0783 \approx 2.022 + 0.1003 \approx 2.1223. \] Thus, there is only a 10% chance that the fleet's mean CO level exceeds approximately \(2.122 \, \mathrm{g/mi}\).

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To determine the approximate model for the distribution of \( \overline{y} \), you would use the Central Limit Theorem since you have a sample of 80 cars. Given that the sample size is large enough (usually n > 30 is considered sufficient), the distribution of the sample mean \( \overline{y} \) is approximately normally distributed with a mean \( \mu_{\overline{y}} = 2.022 \, \text{g/mi} \) and a standard deviation (standard error) calculated as \( \sigma_{\overline{y}} = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{0.7}{\sqrt{80}} \approx 0.0785 \). Next, to estimate the probability that \( \overline{y} \) is between 2.1 and 2.3 g/mi, you would calculate the z-scores for both values: - For \( \overline{y} = 2.1 \): \[ z = \frac{2.1 - 2.022}{0.0785} \approx 1.000 \] - For \( \overline{y} = 2.3 \): \[ z = \frac{2.3 - 2.022}{0.0785} \approx 3.538 \] Using the z-table, find the probability corresponding to these z-scores. The area to the left of \( z = 1.000 \) is approximately 0.8413, and for \( z = 3.538 \), it’s almost 1. The probability that \( \overline{y} \) is between 2.1 and 2.3 g/mi would then be: \[ P(2.1 < \overline{y} < 2.3) = P(Z < 3.538) - P(Z < 1.000) \approx 1 - 0.8413 = 0.1587. \] So the probability is approximately 0.1587 or 15.87%. Lastly, to find the value such that there is only a 10% chance that the fleet's mean CO level is greater than this value, you would look for the z-score corresponding to a cumulative probability of 0.90, which is approximately 1.281. Then, you can use the z-score formula to find the corresponding \( \overline{y} \): \[ x = \mu_{\overline{y}} + z \cdot \sigma_{\overline{y}} = 2.022 + 1.281 \cdot 0.0785 \approx 2.022 + 0.1005 \approx 2.1225. \] So, you would have a 10% chance of exceeding approximately 2.123 g/mi. The correct answer for part a) is A. A Normal model with mean \( 2.022 \) and standard deviation \( 0.079 \). For part c), the value is approximately \( 2.123 \) g/mi.

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