Carbon monoxide (CO) emissions for a certain kind of car vary with mean \( 2.022 \mathrm{~g} / \mathrm{mi} \) and standard deviation \( 0.7 \mathrm{~g} / \mathrm{mi} \). A company has 80 of these cars in its fleet. Let \( \bar{y} \) represent the mean CO level for the company's fleet. a) What's the approximate model for the distribution of \( \overline{\mathrm{y}} \) ? Explain. b) Estimate the probability that \( \overline{\mathrm{y}} \) is between 2.1 and \( 2.3 \mathrm{~g} / \mathrm{mi} \). c) There is only a \( 10 \% \) chance that the fleet's mean CO level is greater than what value? a) Select the correct choice below and, if necessary, fill in the answer boxes within your choice. A. A Normal model with mean \( \square \) and standard deviation (Round to three decimal places as needed.) B. A Binomial model with \( \square \) trials and a probability of success of (Round to three decimal places as needed.) C. A Poisson model with \( \square \) mean number of successes (Round to three decimal places as needed.) D. There is no model that fits this distribution.
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To determine the approximate model for the distribution of \( \overline{y} \), you would use the Central Limit Theorem since you have a sample of 80 cars. Given that the sample size is large enough (usually n > 30 is considered sufficient), the distribution of the sample mean \( \overline{y} \) is approximately normally distributed with a mean \( \mu_{\overline{y}} = 2.022 \, \text{g/mi} \) and a standard deviation (standard error) calculated as \( \sigma_{\overline{y}} = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{0.7}{\sqrt{80}} \approx 0.0785 \). Next, to estimate the probability that \( \overline{y} \) is between 2.1 and 2.3 g/mi, you would calculate the z-scores for both values: - For \( \overline{y} = 2.1 \): \[ z = \frac{2.1 - 2.022}{0.0785} \approx 1.000 \] - For \( \overline{y} = 2.3 \): \[ z = \frac{2.3 - 2.022}{0.0785} \approx 3.538 \] Using the z-table, find the probability corresponding to these z-scores. The area to the left of \( z = 1.000 \) is approximately 0.8413, and for \( z = 3.538 \), it’s almost 1. The probability that \( \overline{y} \) is between 2.1 and 2.3 g/mi would then be: \[ P(2.1 < \overline{y} < 2.3) = P(Z < 3.538) - P(Z < 1.000) \approx 1 - 0.8413 = 0.1587. \] So the probability is approximately 0.1587 or 15.87%. Lastly, to find the value such that there is only a 10% chance that the fleet's mean CO level is greater than this value, you would look for the z-score corresponding to a cumulative probability of 0.90, which is approximately 1.281. Then, you can use the z-score formula to find the corresponding \( \overline{y} \): \[ x = \mu_{\overline{y}} + z \cdot \sigma_{\overline{y}} = 2.022 + 1.281 \cdot 0.0785 \approx 2.022 + 0.1005 \approx 2.1225. \] So, you would have a 10% chance of exceeding approximately 2.123 g/mi. The correct answer for part a) is A. A Normal model with mean \( 2.022 \) and standard deviation \( 0.079 \). For part c), the value is approximately \( 2.123 \) g/mi.
