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Which of the following methods of determining public opinion during elections is most reliable? A magazine's straw poll of reader opinions over a one-year period Door-to-door interviews in low-income neighborhoods An online survey of the social network users of a particular community A random sample of 1,000 people who are typical of the general population

Ask by Marsh Cervantes. in the United States
Mar 10,2025

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A random sample of 1,000 people who are typical of the general population is the most reliable method for determining public opinion during elections.

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1. **Understanding Representativeness:** Public opinion polling relies on selecting a sample that accurately reflects the larger population. A sample should be random and representative to minimize biases. 2. **Evaluating Each Method:** - **Magazines' Straw Poll:** This method uses opinions from magazine readers over one year. However, the readers of a magazine are not necessarily representative of the general public, and timing over one year can introduce additional biases. - **Door-to-Door Interviews in Low-Income Neighborhoods:** Although face-to-face interviews can yield detailed data, limiting the sample to low-income neighborhoods does not capture the diversity of the general population. - **Online Survey of a Particular Community:** While online surveys are efficient, surveying only users from a specific social network community usually produces a sample that is not representative of the overall population. - **Random Sample of 1,000 Typical People:** This method most likely employs random selection techniques to include a wide variety of individuals, minimizing biases. The randomness increases the probability that the opinions gathered reflect those of the broader population. 3. **Conclusion:** The method that provides the most reliable results for determining public opinion during elections is the one using a random sample of \( 1{,}000 \) people who are typical of the general population. \[ \textbf{Answer: A random sample of } 1{,}000 \textbf{ people who are typical of the general population.} \]

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The most reliable method for determining public opinion during elections is typically the random sample of 1,000 people who are typical of the general population. This approach minimizes biases, ensuring the results accurately reflect the wider electorate, enhancing the overall validity of the findings. Straw polls, door-to-door interviews, and online surveys can introduce various biases based on self-selection or reaching a limited demographic. Relying on a statistically representative sample is crucial for obtaining trustworthy insights into voters' preferences and predicting election outcomes accurately.

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