Pregunta
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Disease virulence The Kermack-Mckendrick model for infectious disease transmission
can be used to predict the population size as a function of the disease’s virulence,
Virulence measures the deadliness of a disease. The population size is high when
virulence v is low because it is not very deadly, Surprisingly is also high when is high
because then the disease is so deadly it kils people before they can pass it on, so fewer
people actually get infected. Suppose,
for values of v from 0 to 10 inclusive, What virulence values produce the largest and
smallest population sizes? What are those populations?

Ask by Whittaker Barber. in Canada
Mar 19,2025

Solución de inteligencia artificial de Upstudy

Respuesta verificada por el tutor

Responder

The smallest population occurs when virulence is approximately (about 2.16), with a population size of about 5.32. The largest population occurs when , with a population size of approximately 10.91.

Solución

We are given
A useful first step is to perform polynomial division on the numerator by . Dividing by gives
so

Step 1. Differentiate to Find Critical Points

Differentiate with respect to :
The derivative is
Set to find the critical points:
Taking the positive square root (since ) gives
Since , we have .

Step 2. Verify if is a Minimum or Maximum

Differentiate to find the second derivative if needed:
Since for , the second derivative is positive, confirming that is a local minimum.

Step 3. Evaluate at the Endpoints and the Critical Point

  • At :
  • At :
  • At :
    Using :

Conclusion

  • The smallest population occurs at with
  • The largest population occurs at with

Respondido por UpStudy AI y revisado por un tutor profesional

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The Deep Dive

To find the values of virulence that yield the largest and smallest population sizes , we can analyze the function .
  1. Calculate: Evaluate at the endpoints (0 and 10) and consider values in between (like 1, 2, … 9). This will help identify the extreme values.
  2. Assessment: Performing these calculations, you’ll find that and . But checking values like and so forth, you would discover that peaks at some intermediate virulence values.
After evaluating the function, you will discover:
  • The smallest population size occurs at where .
  • The largest population size occurs at , where , indicating a significant peak.
Thus, the largest population size is 19 at and the smallest is 10 at .

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