Pregunta
Disease virulence The Kermack-Mckendrick model for infectious disease transmission
can be used to predict the population size
as a function of the disease’s virulence,
Virulence measures the deadliness of a disease. The population size
is high when
virulence v is low because it is not very deadly, Surprisingly
is also high when
is high
because then the disease is so deadly it kils people before they can pass it on, so fewer
people actually get infected. Suppose,
for values of v from 0 to 10 inclusive, What virulence values produce the largest and
smallest population sizes? What are those populations?
can be used to predict the population size
Virulence measures the deadliness of a disease. The population size
virulence v is low because it is not very deadly, Surprisingly
because then the disease is so deadly it kils people before they can pass it on, so fewer
people actually get infected. Suppose,
smallest population sizes? What are those populations?
Ask by Whittaker Barber. in Canada
Mar 19,2025
Solución de inteligencia artificial de Upstudy
Respuesta verificada por el tutor
Responder
The smallest population occurs when virulence
is approximately
(about 2.16), with a population size of about 5.32. The largest population occurs when
, with a population size of approximately 10.91.
Solución
We are given
A useful first step is to perform polynomial division on the numerator by
. Dividing
by
gives
so
Step 1. Differentiate to Find Critical Points
Differentiate
with respect to
:
The derivative is
Set
to find the critical points:
Taking the positive square root (since
) gives
Since
, we have
.
Step 2. Verify if
is a Minimum or Maximum
Differentiate
to find the second derivative if needed:
Since
for
, the second derivative is positive, confirming that
is a local minimum.
Step 3. Evaluate
at the Endpoints and the Critical Point
-
At
: -
At
: -
At
: Using:
Conclusion
- The smallest population occurs at
with - The largest population occurs at
with
Respondido por UpStudy AI y revisado por un tutor profesional
Como
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The Deep Dive
To find the values of virulence
that yield the largest and smallest population sizes
, we can analyze the function
.
-
Calculate: Evaluate
at the endpoints (0 and 10) and consider values in between (like 1, 2, … 9). This will help identify the extreme values. -
Assessment: Performing these calculations, you’ll find that
and . But checking values like and so forth, you would discover that peaks at some intermediate virulence values.
After evaluating the function, you will discover:
- The smallest population size occurs at
where . - The largest population size occurs at
, where , indicating a significant peak.
Thus, the largest population size is 19 at
and the smallest is 10 at
.
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